Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 28), 2026-27: NC State 93%, SMU 7% at SMU.
NC State's win probability against SMU has held at 93% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
NC State's win probability against SMU has held at 94% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
NC State's win probability against SMU has held at 96% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.