Dayton at Richmond Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Richmond by 17.43
TOTAL POINTS
138
UPDATED
Wednesday, October 28, 2026
See this week's WCBB predictions
PRESEASON RATINGS
Dayton
Richmond 
|
85
B
|
Overall |
95
A
|
|
82
B-
|
Power |
94
A
|
|
87
B+
|
Offensive |
93
A-
|
|
73
C-
|
Defensive |
94
A
|
|
|
SoS (Current) |
|
|
85
B
|
SoS (Full Season) |
87
B+
|
PRESEASON RANKINGS
Dayton
Richmond
| 134 | Overall | 39 |
| 159 | Power | 52 |
| 110 | Offensive | 59 |
| 241 | Defensive | 50 |
| N/A | SoS (Current) | N/A |
| 129 | SoS (Full Season) | 112 |
Richmond#3987%
Dayton#13413%Pre (Oct 28), 2026-27: Richmond 87%, Dayton 13% at Richmond.
Richmond's win probability against Dayton is trending down — from 82% to 79% over the last 6 updates.
Richmond's win probability against Dayton is trending down — from 86% to 83% over the last 6 updates.
Richmond's win probability against Dayton has held at 87% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Richmond favored
Dayton favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | Season | At Dayton | Neutral | At Richmond |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 17 | 2025-26 | 83% | 87% | 90% |
| Wk 18 | 2025-26 | 84% | 88% | 91% |
| Wk 19 | 2025-26 | 82% | 86% | 89% |
| Wk 20 | 2025-26 | 82% | 86% | 89% |
| Wk 21 | 2025-26 | 82% | 86% | 89% |
| Wk 22 | 2025-26 | 82% | 86% | 89% |
| Wk 23 | 2025-26 | 82% | 86% | 89% |
| Wk 24 | 2025-26 | 82% | 86% | 89% |
| Pre | 2026-27 | 79% | 83% | 87% |
2025-2026 RECORDS
Dayton
Richmond
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
17-14 (54.8%) |
Overall |
26-8 (76.5%) |
|
8-6 (57.1%) |
Home |
13-1 (92.9%) |
|
7-6 (53.8%) |
Away |
9-4 (69.2%) |
|
0-0 (0%) |
Versus Top 25 |
0-2 (0%) |
|
5-8 (38.5%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
17-7 (70.8%) |
|
12-6 (66.7%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
9-1 (90%) |
|
6-4 (60%) |
Last 10 Games |
6-4 (60%) |
2025-2026 SUPERLATIVES
Dayton
Richmond
| #48 Kansas | Best Win | #34 Rhode Island |
| #221 St Louis | Worst Loss | #155 G Washington |
| 42 pts vs #288 Mercyhurst | Largest MOV | 48 pts vs #221 St Louis |
| 37 pts vs #87 Purdue | Largest MOD | 29 pts vs #3 Texas |
OTHER 2025-2026 STATISTICS
Dayton
Richmond
| 67 | Points per Game | 72.1 |
| 67.5 | Points Against | 59.5 |
| 69.4 | Home PPG | 78.2 |
| 66.9 | Home PA | 57.9 |
| 64 | Away PPG | 70.5 |
| 66.7 | Away PA | 60.5 |
| 496-501 | Opponent Record | 628-458 |
| 164.8 | Avg Opponent Rank | 133.9 |
| W 3 | Longest Streak | W 11 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 2 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Dayton
Richmond
| Mar 6 | George Mason (23-10) | L85-87 | Mar 18 | Nebraska (19-13) | L56-75 |
| Mar 5 | G Washington (17-18) | W62-54 | Mar 7 | George Mason (23-10) | L45-60 |
| Feb 28 | vs VCU (8-23) | W79-62 | Mar 6 | La Salle (18-14) | W70-51 |
| Feb 25 | at Loyola-Chicago (16-18) | W67-58 | Feb 28 | at St Joseph's PA (18-11) | W72-61 |
| Feb 21 | at Davidson (21-12) | L67-79 | Feb 25 | vs Rhode Island (27-5) | W72-46 |
| Feb 14 | vs St Louis (11-21) | W65-63 | Feb 22 | vs La Salle (18-14) | W92-58 |
| Feb 11 | vs George Mason (23-10) | L61-72 | Feb 18 | at G Washington (17-18) | L54-57 |
| Feb 7 | at St Joseph's PA (18-11) | W75-73 | Feb 16 | at George Mason (23-10) | L37-46 |
| Feb 4 | at La Salle (18-14) | W68-60 | Feb 14 | at Davidson (21-12) | W65-43 |
| Feb 1 | vs G Washington (17-18) | L54-66 | Feb 11 | vs St Bonaventure (16-16) | W75-52 |