Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 28), 2026-27: Rice 71%, East Carolina 29% at Rice.
Rice's win probability against East Carolina is trending down — from 62% to 59% over the last 6 updates.
Rice's win probability against East Carolina has held at 66% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Rice's win probability against East Carolina is trending down — from 74% to 71% over the last 6 updates.