Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 28), 2026-27: Oregon 92%, Hawaii 8% at Oregon.
Oregon's win probability against Hawaii is trending down — from 90% to 86% over the last 6 updates.
Oregon's win probability against Hawaii is trending down — from 92% to 89% over the last 6 updates.
Oregon's win probability against Hawaii has held at 92% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.