Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 28), 2026-27: South Carolina 85%, North Carolina 15% at a neutral site.
South Carolina's win probability against North Carolina has swung between 81% and 86% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 81% now.
South Carolina's win probability against North Carolina has held at 85% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
South Carolina's win probability against North Carolina has held at 89% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.