Troy at Nevada Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Troy by 11.45
TOTAL POINTS
137
UPDATED
Wednesday, October 28, 2026
See this week's WCBB predictions
PRESEASON RATINGS
Nevada
Troy 
|
72
C-
|
Overall |
92
A-
|
|
76
C
|
Power |
91
A-
|
|
70
C-
|
Offensive |
96
A
|
|
84
B
|
Defensive |
75
C
|
|
|
SoS (Current) |
|
|
80
B-
|
SoS (Full Season) |
88
B+
|
PRESEASON RANKINGS
Nevada
Troy
| 255 | Overall | 68 |
| 212 | Power | 74 |
| 270 | Offensive | 33 |
| 138 | Defensive | 225 |
| N/A | SoS (Current) | N/A |
| 179 | SoS (Full Season) | 102 |
Troy#6877%
Nevada#25523%Pre (Oct 28), 2026-27: Troy 77%, Nevada 23% at Nevada.
Troy's win probability against Nevada is trending down — from 80% to 77% over the last 6 updates.
Troy's win probability against Nevada has held at 82% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Troy's win probability against Nevada has held at 86% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Troy favored
Nevada favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | Season | At Nevada | Neutral | At Troy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 17 | 2025-26 | 80% | 84% | 88% |
| Wk 18 | 2025-26 | 78% | 83% | 86% |
| Wk 19 | 2025-26 | 80% | 84% | 87% |
| Wk 20 | 2025-26 | 79% | 84% | 87% |
| Wk 21 | 2025-26 | 79% | 83% | 87% |
| Wk 22 | 2025-26 | 80% | 84% | 87% |
| Wk 23 | 2025-26 | 80% | 84% | 88% |
| Wk 24 | 2025-26 | 80% | 84% | 88% |
| Pre | 2026-27 | 77% | 82% | 86% |
2025-2026 RECORDS
Nevada
Troy
|
0-0 (0%) |
Head to Head |
0-0 (0%) |
|
9-21 (30%) |
Overall |
24-8 (75%) |
|
7-6 (53.8%) |
Home |
12-1 (92.3%) |
|
2-11 (15.4%) |
Away |
9-6 (60%) |
|
0-0 (0%) |
Versus Top 25 |
0-1 (0%) |
|
3-12 (20%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
12-6 (66.7%) |
|
6-9 (40%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
12-2 (85.7%) |
|
3-7 (30%) |
Last 10 Games |
6-4 (60%) |
2025-2026 SUPERLATIVES
Nevada
Troy
| #107 Loy Marymount | Best Win | #59 Marshall |
| #322 San Jose St | Worst Loss | #194 Southern Miss |
| 29 pts vs #208 Utah Valley | Largest MOV | 45 pts vs #336 MS Valley St |
| 23 pts vs #139 San Francisco | Largest MOD | 22 pts vs #57 Kansas St |
OTHER 2025-2026 STATISTICS
Nevada
Troy
| 56.7 | Points per Game | 79.8 |
| 62.1 | Points Against | 70.1 |
| 59 | Home PPG | 82.2 |
| 56.5 | Home PA | 63.5 |
| 56.3 | Away PPG | 78.1 |
| 66.5 | Away PA | 75.5 |
| 503-448 | Opponent Record | 528-489 |
| 169.6 | Avg Opponent Rank | 163.8 |
| L 7 | Longest Streak | W 6 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 2 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Nevada
Troy
| Mar 7 | Fresno St (14-18) | L57-74 | Mar 19 | at Kansas (21-14) | L70-79 |
| Mar 3 | at Utah St (5-24) | W72-69 | Mar 9 | James Madison (26-9) | L52-69 |
| Feb 28 | vs New Mexico (22-10) | L56-63 | Mar 8 | Arkansas St (26-10) | W83-73 |
| Feb 25 | vs San Jose St (3-28) | W49-41 | Feb 27 | at South Alabama (17-19) | L69-76 |
| Feb 21 | at UNLV (21-11) | L64-81 | Feb 24 | at Arkansas St (26-10) | W61-54 |
| Feb 18 | at Colorado St (26-8) | L59-70 | Feb 21 | vs Southern Miss (13-16) | W97-80 |
| Feb 14 | vs San Diego St (26-6) | L64-78 | Feb 18 | vs South Alabama (17-19) | W84-73 |
| Feb 11 | vs Air Force (15-19) | W76-59 | Feb 14 | vs ULM (16-16) | W82-80 |
| Feb 7 | at Fresno St (14-18) | L51-71 | Feb 12 | vs Louisiana (4-25) | W71-55 |
| Feb 4 | vs Boise St (24-9) | L61-70 | Feb 7 | at Ball St (25-7) | L86-87 |