Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 28), 2026-27: George Mason 68%, Navy 32% at Navy.
George Mason's win probability against Navy has held at 68% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
George Mason's win probability against Navy has held at 74% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
George Mason's win probability against Navy has held at 79% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.