Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 28), 2026-27: Michigan 71%, Iowa 29% at Michigan.
Michigan's win probability against Iowa has swung between 57% and 64% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 60% now.
Michigan's win probability against Iowa is trending up — from 63% to 66% over the last 6 updates.
Michigan's win probability against Iowa has swung between 69% and 75% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 71% now.