Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 28), 2026-27: Maryland 59%, Michigan St 41% at Maryland.
Maryland's win probability against Michigan St is trending up — from 44% to 47% over the last 6 updates.
Maryland's win probability against Michigan St has held at 53% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Maryland's win probability against Michigan St has held at 59% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.