Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Manhattan
Fairfield
|
67
D+
|
Overall |
91
A-
|
|
68
D+
|
Power |
92
A-
|
|
67
D+
6099
|
Offensive |
92
A-
6099
|
|
Manhattan
6099
Fairfield
6099
|
||
|
73
C-
6099
|
Defensive |
90
A-
6099
|
|
Manhattan
6099
Fairfield
6099
|
||
|
66
D
|
SoS (Current) |
66
D
|
|
66
D
|
SoS (Future) |
66
D
|
Manhattan
Fairfield
| 294 | Overall | 74 |
| 286 | Power | 63 |
| 294 | Offensive | 70 |
| 246 | Defensive | 87 |
| 303 | SoS (Current) | 308 |
| 303 | SoS (Future) | 308 |
Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: Fairfield 95%, Manhattan 5% at Manhattan.
Fairfield's win probability against Manhattan has held at 95% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Fairfield's win probability against Manhattan has held at 97% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Fairfield's win probability against Manhattan has held at 98% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At Manhattan | Neutral | At Fairfield |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 85% | 90% | 93% |
| Wk 1 | 99% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 2 | 98% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 3 | 99% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 4 | 98% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 5 | 98% | 98% | 99% |
| Wk 6 | 97% | 98% | 98% |
| Wk 7 | 98% | 98% | 99% |
| Wk 8 | 98% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 9 | 98% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 10 | 98% | 98% | 99% |
| Wk 11 | 96% | 98% | 98% |
| Wk 12 | 96% | 97% | 98% |
| Wk 13 | 94% | 96% | 97% |
| Wk 14 | 94% | 96% | 97% |
| Wk 15 | 96% | 97% | 98% |
| Wk 16 | 96% | 98% | 98% |
| Wk 17 | 96% | 97% | 98% |
| Wk 18 | 96% | 97% | 98% |
| Wk 19 | 95% | 97% | 98% |
| Wk 20 | 95% | 97% | 98% |
| Wk 21 | 95% | 97% | 98% |
| Wk 22 | 95% | 97% | 98% |
| Wk 23 | 95% | 97% | 98% |
| Wk 24 | 95% | 97% | 98% |
Manhattan
Fairfield
|
0-2 (0%) |
Head to Head |
2-0 (100%) |
|
11-20 (35.5%) |
Overall |
28-5 (84.8%) |
|
6-8 (42.9%) |
Home |
12-1 (92.3%) |
|
4-10 (28.6%) |
Away |
12-2 (85.7%) |
|
0-1 (0%) |
Versus Top 25 |
0-3 (0%) |
|
2-14 (12.5%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
11-5 (68.8%) |
|
9-6 (60%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
17-0 (100%) |
|
6-4 (60%) |
Last 10 Games |
9-1 (90%) |
Manhattan
Fairfield
| #234 Merrimack | Best Win | #27 Villanova |
| #348 Rider | Worst Loss | #115 Quinnipiac |
| 26 pts vs #350 Canisius | Largest MOV | 61 pts vs #306 Marist |
| 63 pts vs #16 Minnesota | Largest MOD | 19 pts vs #17 Notre Dame |
Manhattan
Fairfield
| 57.7 | Points per Game | 75 |
| 64.1 | Points Against | 56.5 |
| 59.9 | Home PPG | 79.6 |
| 64.2 | Home PA | 51.6 |
| 56.4 | Away PPG | 74.9 |
| 64.6 | Away PA | 58.2 |
| 488-473 | Opponent Record | 506-526 |
| 226.3 | Avg Opponent Rank | 228.2 |
| L 11 | Longest Streak | W 13 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 1 |
Manhattan
Fairfield
| Mar 6 | Quinnipiac (27-7) | L43-59 | Mar 21 | #17 Notre Dame (25-11) | L60-79 |
| Mar 5 | Marist (11-20) | W64-55 | Mar 9 | Quinnipiac (27-7) | W51-44 |
| Feb 28 | vs St Peter's (6-23) | W68-49 | Mar 8 | Merrimack (18-13) | W65-48 |
| Feb 26 | at Iona (19-12) | L59-65 | Mar 6 | Sacred Heart (12-18) | W69-53 |
| Feb 21 | vs Merrimack (18-13) | W82-67 | Feb 28 | vs Sacred Heart (12-18) | W67-50 |
| Feb 19 | at Marist (11-20) | W66-61 | Feb 21 | at Siena (13-17) | W81-51 |
| Feb 14 | vs Canisius (5-24) | W68-55 | Feb 19 | vs St Peter's (6-23) | W62-30 |
| Feb 12 | vs Niagara (1-28) | W60-42 | Feb 14 | at Quinnipiac (27-7) | W75-63 |
| Feb 8 | vs Siena (13-17) | L72-91 | Feb 12 | at Mt St Mary's (15-15) | W69-43 |
| Feb 5 | at Rider (7-22) | L60-71 | Feb 7 | vs Iona (19-12) | W82-46 |
vs
Women's College Basketball