Louisville at Kentucky Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Louisville by 2.08
TOTAL POINTS
137
UPDATED
Wednesday, October 28, 2026
See this week's WCBB predictions
PRESEASON RATINGS
Kentucky
Louisville 
|
97
A+
|
Overall |
98
A+
|
|
97
A+
|
Power |
98
A+
|
|
96
A
|
Offensive |
98
A+
|
|
98
A+
|
Defensive |
98
A+
|
|
|
SoS (Current) |
|
|
97
A+
|
SoS (Full Season) |
94
A
|
PRESEASON RANKINGS
Kentucky
Louisville
| 17 | Overall | 9 |
| 16 | Power | 7 |
| 26 | Offensive | 11 |
| 8 | Defensive | 11 |
| N/A | SoS (Current) | N/A |
| 16 | SoS (Full Season) | 52 |
Louisville#955%
Kentucky#1745%Pre (Oct 28), 2026-27: Louisville 55%, Kentucky 45% at Kentucky.
Louisville's win probability against Kentucky has swung between 48% and 55% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 55% now.
Louisville's win probability against Kentucky is trending up — from 58% to 62% over the last 6 updates.
Louisville's win probability against Kentucky has swung between 61% and 68% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 68% now.
Louisville favored
Kentucky favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | Season | At Kentucky | Neutral | At Louisville |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 17 | 2025-26 | 54% | 60% | 67% |
| Wk 18 | 2025-26 | 53% | 60% | 66% |
| Wk 19 | 2025-26 | 52% | 58% | 65% |
| Wk 20 | 2025-26 | 52% | 58% | 64% |
| Wk 21 | 2025-26 | 51% | 57% | 64% |
| Wk 22 | 2025-26 | 49% | 56% | 62% |
| Wk 23 | 2025-26 | 48% | 55% | 61% |
| Wk 24 | 2025-26 | 48% | 55% | 61% |
| Pre | 2026-27 | 55% | 62% | 68% |
2025-2026 RECORDS
Kentucky
Louisville
|
1-0 (100%) |
Head to Head |
0-1 (0%) |
|
25-11 (69.4%) |
Overall |
29-8 (78.4%) |
|
12-3 (80%) |
Home |
16-5 (76.2%) |
|
9-5 (64.3%) |
Away |
9-0 (100%) |
|
4-8 (33.3%) |
Versus Top 25 |
4-7 (36.4%) |
|
16-11 (59.3%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
19-8 (70.4%) |
|
9-0 (100%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
10-0 (100%) |
|
6-4 (60%) |
Last 10 Games |
6-4 (60%) |
2025-2026 SUPERLATIVES
Kentucky
Louisville
| #8 LSU | Best Win | #15 North Carolina |
| #63 Mississippi St | Worst Loss | #44 Virginia |
| 62 pts vs #346 Morgan St | Largest MOV | 63 pts vs #354 Bellarmine |
| 23 pts vs #2 South Carolina | Largest MOD | 19 pts vs #5 Michigan |
OTHER 2025-2026 STATISTICS
Kentucky
Louisville
| 74.9 | Points per Game | 78.7 |
| 60.9 | Points Against | 61 |
| 79.3 | Home PPG | 81.2 |
| 56.4 | Home PA | 58.6 |
| 70 | Away PPG | 77 |
| 63.6 | Away PA | 63.8 |
| 740-453 | Opponent Record | 738-496 |
| 91.6 | Avg Opponent Rank | 97.8 |
| W 8 | Longest Streak | W 14 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Kentucky
Louisville
| Mar 28 | #3 Texas (35-4) | L54-76 | Mar 28 | #5 Michigan (28-7) | L52-71 |
| Mar 23 | at #12 West Virginia (28-7) | W74-73 | Mar 23 | vs #23 Alabama (24-11) | W69-68 |
| Mar 21 | James Madison (26-9) | W71-56 | Mar 21 | vs Vermont (25-8) | W72-52 |
| Mar 6 | #2 South Carolina (36-4) | L64-87 | Mar 8 | #9 Duke (27-9) | L65-70 |
| Mar 5 | Georgia (22-10) | W76-61 | Mar 7 | #15 North Carolina (28-8) | W65-57 |
| Mar 4 | Arkansas (12-20) | W94-64 | Mar 6 | Syracuse (24-9) | W87-61 |
| Mar 1 | vs #2 South Carolina (36-4) | L56-60 | Mar 1 | vs #17 Notre Dame (25-11) | L62-65 |
| Feb 26 | at Auburn (15-17) | W63-56 | Feb 26 | at Georgia Tech (14-19) | W69-50 |
| Feb 22 | at #7 Vanderbilt (29-5) | L79-81 | Feb 22 | vs Virginia (22-12) | L72-74 |
| Feb 15 | vs Mississippi (24-12) | W74-57 | Feb 15 | vs Florida St (10-21) | W88-65 |