Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 28), 2026-27: Troy 69%, Kent 31% at Kent.
Troy's win probability against Kent is trending down — from 72% to 69% over the last 6 updates.
Troy's win probability against Kent has held at 75% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Troy's win probability against Kent is trending down — from 82% to 79% over the last 6 updates.