Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 28), 2026-27: Iowa St 93%, Houston 7% at Iowa St.
Iowa St's win probability against Houston is trending down — from 92% to 88% over the last 6 updates.
Iowa St's win probability against Houston is trending down — from 94% to 91% over the last 6 updates.
Iowa St's win probability against Houston has held at 93% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.