Michigan St at Illinois Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Michigan St by 1.4
TOTAL POINTS
146
UPDATED
Wednesday, October 28, 2026
See this week's WCBB predictions
PRESEASON RATINGS
Illinois
Michigan St 
|
96
A
|
Overall |
97
A+
|
|
96
A
|
Power |
97
A+
|
|
96
A
|
Offensive |
98
A+
|
|
95
A
|
Defensive |
95
A
|
|
|
SoS (Current) |
|
|
96
A
|
SoS (Full Season) |
94
A
|
PRESEASON RANKINGS
Illinois
Michigan St
| 28 | Overall | 20 |
| 27 | Power | 17 |
| 25 | Offensive | 14 |
| 38 | Defensive | 35 |
| N/A | SoS (Current) | N/A |
| 32 | SoS (Full Season) | 43 |
Michigan St#2054%
Illinois#2846%Pre (Oct 28), 2026-27: Michigan St 54%, Illinois 46% at Illinois.
Michigan St's win probability against Illinois has held at 54% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Michigan St's win probability against Illinois is trending down — from 63% to 60% over the last 6 updates.
Michigan St's win probability against Illinois is trending down — from 69% to 66% over the last 6 updates.
Michigan St favored
Illinois favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | Season | At Illinois | Neutral | At Michigan St |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 17 | 2025-26 | 59% | 66% | 71% |
| Wk 18 | 2025-26 | 59% | 66% | 71% |
| Wk 19 | 2025-26 | 56% | 63% | 69% |
| Wk 20 | 2025-26 | 56% | 63% | 69% |
| Wk 21 | 2025-26 | 55% | 61% | 67% |
| Wk 22 | 2025-26 | 55% | 62% | 68% |
| Wk 23 | 2025-26 | 55% | 61% | 67% |
| Wk 24 | 2025-26 | 55% | 61% | 67% |
| Pre | 2026-27 | 54% | 60% | 66% |
2025-2026 RECORDS
Illinois
Michigan St
|
1-1 (50%) |
Head to Head |
1-1 (50%) |
|
22-12 (64.7%) |
Overall |
23-9 (71.9%) |
|
13-4 (76.5%) |
Home |
11-4 (73.3%) |
|
6-7 (46.2%) |
Away |
7-4 (63.6%) |
|
3-8 (27.3%) |
Versus Top 25 |
2-7 (22.2%) |
|
9-12 (42.9%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
11-8 (57.9%) |
|
13-0 (100%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
12-1 (92.3%) |
|
6-4 (60%) |
Last 10 Games |
4-6 (40%) |
2025-2026 SUPERLATIVES
Illinois
Michigan St
| #19 Maryland | Best Win | #16 Minnesota |
| #84 Oregon St | Worst Loss | #73 Wisconsin |
| 72 pts vs #331 Le Moyne | Largest MOV | 86 pts vs #288 Mercyhurst |
| 18 pts vs #7 Vanderbilt | Largest MOD | 23 pts vs #1 UCLA |
OTHER 2025-2026 STATISTICS
Illinois
Michigan St
| 76.5 | Points per Game | 82.1 |
| 66.1 | Points Against | 66.1 |
| 78.9 | Home PPG | 87.2 |
| 61.1 | Home PA | 65.9 |
| 75.7 | Away PPG | 77 |
| 73 | Away PA | 69.6 |
| 633-473 | Opponent Record | 597-444 |
| 93.5 | Avg Opponent Rank | 97.2 |
| W 11 | Longest Streak | W 9 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Illinois
Michigan St
| Mar 23 | at #7 Vanderbilt (29-5) | L57-75 | Mar 22 | at #13 Oklahoma (26-8) | L71-77 |
| Mar 21 | Colorado (22-12) | W66-57 | Mar 20 | Colorado St (26-8) | W65-62 |
| Mar 6 | #6 Iowa (27-7) | L58-64 | Mar 5 | Illinois (22-12) | L69-71 |
| Mar 5 | #22 Michigan St (23-9) | W71-69 | Mar 1 | vs #11 Ohio St (27-8) | L68-87 |
| Mar 4 | Wisconsin (16-18) | W82-70 | Feb 22 | at #16 Minnesota (24-9) | W75-61 |
| Mar 1 | vs #16 Minnesota (24-9) | L73-78 | Feb 18 | vs Northwestern (8-21) | W104-68 |
| Feb 26 | at #6 Iowa (27-7) | L78-82 | Feb 15 | at #5 Michigan (28-7) | L65-86 |
| Feb 22 | at Northwestern (8-21) | W92-65 | Feb 11 | vs #1 UCLA (37-1) | L63-86 |
| Feb 17 | vs Rutgers (9-20) | W76-56 | Feb 7 | at Penn St (11-18) | W81-70 |
| Feb 11 | vs Wisconsin (16-18) | W92-60 | Feb 4 | vs #19 Maryland (24-9) | L70-86 |