Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 28), 2026-27: Florida 58%, Mississippi St 42% at Florida.
Florida's win probability against Mississippi St has held at 45% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Florida's win probability against Mississippi St has held at 51% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Florida's win probability against Mississippi St has held at 58% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.