South Alabama at Florida St Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Florida St by 10.61
TOTAL POINTS
146
UPDATED
Wednesday, October 28, 2026
See this week's WCBB predictions
PRESEASON RATINGS
South Alabama
Florida St 
|
79
C+
|
Overall |
84
B
|
|
81
B-
|
Power |
89
B+
|
|
82
B-
|
Offensive |
95
A
|
|
78
C+
|
Defensive |
73
C-
|
|
|
SoS (Current) |
|
|
83
B-
|
SoS (Full Season) |
92
A-
|
PRESEASON RANKINGS
South Alabama
Florida St
| 185 | Overall | 142 |
| 171 | Power | 91 |
| 155 | Offensive | 41 |
| 200 | Defensive | 243 |
| N/A | SoS (Current) | N/A |
| 148 | SoS (Full Season) | 62 |
Florida St#14276%
South Alabama#18524%Pre (Oct 28), 2026-27: Florida St 76%, South Alabama 24% at Florida St.
Florida St's win probability against South Alabama is trending down — from 67% to 64% over the last 6 updates.
Florida St's win probability against South Alabama has held at 70% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Florida St's win probability against South Alabama has held at 76% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Florida St favored
South Alabama favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | Season | At South Alabama | Neutral | At Florida St |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 17 | 2025-26 | 75% | 80% | 84% |
| Wk 18 | 2025-26 | 71% | 77% | 81% |
| Wk 19 | 2025-26 | 67% | 72% | 77% |
| Wk 20 | 2025-26 | 67% | 72% | 78% |
| Wk 21 | 2025-26 | 68% | 74% | 79% |
| Wk 22 | 2025-26 | 68% | 73% | 78% |
| Wk 23 | 2025-26 | 67% | 72% | 77% |
| Wk 24 | 2025-26 | 66% | 72% | 77% |
| Pre | 2026-27 | 64% | 70% | 76% |
2025-2026 RECORDS
South Alabama
Florida St
|
0-0 (0%) |
Head to Head |
0-0 (0%) |
|
17-19 (47.2%) |
Overall |
10-21 (32.3%) |
|
9-7 (56.3%) |
Home |
6-11 (35.3%) |
|
4-11 (26.7%) |
Away |
3-8 (27.3%) |
|
0-0 (0%) |
Versus Top 25 |
0-6 (0%) |
|
5-11 (31.3%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
3-19 (13.6%) |
|
12-8 (60%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
7-2 (77.8%) |
|
8-2 (80%) |
Last 10 Games |
3-7 (30%) |
2025-2026 SUPERLATIVES
South Alabama
Florida St
| #59 Marshall | Best Win | #65 Ga Southern |
| #311 Louisiana | Worst Loss | #100 Georgia Tech |
| 37 pts vs #302 North Florida | Largest MOV | 73 pts vs #318 Florida A&M |
| 40 pts vs #83 Arkansas St | Largest MOD | 35 pts vs #17 Notre Dame |
OTHER 2025-2026 STATISTICS
South Alabama
Florida St
| 67.6 | Points per Game | 71.5 |
| 67.6 | Points Against | 77.1 |
| 68.1 | Home PPG | 73.7 |
| 65.1 | Home PA | 73.9 |
| 66.7 | Away PPG | 66.2 |
| 71.3 | Away PA | 79.7 |
| 534-570 | Opponent Record | 601-424 |
| 185.8 | Avg Opponent Rank | 97.7 |
| L 10 | Longest Streak | L 5 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
South Alabama
Florida St
| Mar 24 | at PFW (20-14) | L72-77 | Mar 4 | Georgia Tech (14-19) | L60-72 |
| Mar 21 | at Alcorn St (14-14) | W73-65 | Mar 1 | at Wake Forest (14-18) | W77-74 |
| Mar 7 | James Madison (26-9) | L54-79 | Feb 26 | at #9 Duke (27-9) | L52-80 |
| Mar 6 | Marshall (27-9) | W73-58 | Feb 22 | vs Stanford (21-14) | L61-77 |
| Mar 5 | Texas St (9-19) | W69-59 | Feb 19 | vs California (21-15) | L62-75 |
| Mar 4 | Coastal Car (12-18) | W80-70 | Feb 15 | at #14 Louisville (29-8) | L65-88 |
| Mar 3 | Appalachian St (9-19) | W68-57 | Feb 12 | vs Boston College (5-26) | W85-76 |
| Feb 27 | vs Troy (24-8) | W76-69 | Feb 8 | vs Miami FL (18-15) | W87-70 |
| Feb 25 | vs Southern Miss (13-16) | W57-43 | Feb 5 | at NC State (21-11) | L55-83 |
| Feb 21 | at Texas St (9-19) | W64-59 | Feb 1 | at Clemson (21-12) | L58-77 |