UNC Wilmington at East Carolina Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
East Carolina by 25.81
TOTAL POINTS
136
UPDATED
Tuesday, April 7, 2026
RATINGS
UNC Wilmington
East Carolina 
|
62
D-
|
Overall |
88
B+
|
|
64
D
|
Power |
87
B+
|
|
65
D
|
Offensive |
90
A-
|
|
65
D
|
Defensive |
79
C+
|
|
65
D
|
SoS (Current) |
80
B-
|
|
65
D
|
SoS (Future) |
80
B-
|
RANKINGS
UNC Wilmington
East Carolina
| 342 | Overall | 104 |
| 324 | Power | 113 |
| 315 | Offensive | 86 |
| 321 | Defensive | 183 |
| 315 | SoS (Current) | 179 |
| 315 | SoS (Future) | 179 |
East Carolina#10497%
UNC Wilmington#3423%Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: East Carolina 97%, UNC Wilmington 3% at East Carolina.
East Carolina's win probability against UNC Wilmington has held at 93% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
East Carolina's win probability against UNC Wilmington has held at 96% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
East Carolina's win probability against UNC Wilmington has held at 97% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
East Carolina favored
UNC Wilmington favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At UNC Wilmington | Neutral | At East Carolina |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 83% | 88% | 92% |
| Wk 1 | 85% | 89% | 93% |
| Wk 2 | 91% | 94% | 96% |
| Wk 3 | 85% | 90% | 93% |
| Wk 4 | 88% | 91% | 94% |
| Wk 5 | 85% | 90% | 93% |
| Wk 6 | 87% | 91% | 94% |
| Wk 7 | 90% | 93% | 95% |
| Wk 8 | 90% | 93% | 96% |
| Wk 9 | 93% | 95% | 97% |
| Wk 10 | 92% | 95% | 97% |
| Wk 11 | 91% | 94% | 96% |
| Wk 12 | 93% | 96% | 97% |
| Wk 13 | 94% | 96% | 97% |
| Wk 14 | 94% | 96% | 97% |
| Wk 15 | 94% | 96% | 97% |
| Wk 16 | 93% | 95% | 97% |
| Wk 17 | 93% | 95% | 97% |
| Wk 18 | 94% | 96% | 97% |
| Wk 19 | 94% | 96% | 97% |
| Wk 20 | 94% | 96% | 97% |
| Wk 21 | 93% | 96% | 97% |
| Wk 22 | 93% | 96% | 97% |
| Wk 23 | 93% | 96% | 97% |
| Wk 24 | 93% | 96% | 97% |
RECORDS
UNC Wilmington
East Carolina
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
6-24 (20%) |
Overall |
22-10 (68.8%) |
|
4-8 (33.3%) |
Home |
13-4 (76.5%) |
|
1-15 (6.3%) |
Away |
7-4 (63.6%) |
|
0-1 (0%) |
Versus Top 25 |
0-0 (0%) |
|
0-15 (0%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
7-7 (50%) |
|
6-9 (40%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
15-3 (83.3%) |
|
2-8 (20%) |
Last 10 Games |
7-3 (70%) |
SUPERLATIVES
UNC Wilmington
East Carolina
| #284 NC A&T | Best Win | #67 South Florida |
| #317 Hampton | Worst Loss | #269 Wichita St |
| 20 pts vs #360 Presbyterian | Largest MOV | 31 pts vs #125 Tulsa |
| 50 pts vs #15 North Carolina | Largest MOD | 24 pts vs #117 North Texas |
OTHER STATISTICS
UNC Wilmington
East Carolina
| 58.1 | Points per Game | 71.2 |
| 68.9 | Points Against | 65.3 |
| 57.6 | Home PPG | 73.1 |
| 64.3 | Home PA | 63.6 |
| 58.8 | Away PPG | 71.5 |
| 73.3 | Away PA | 69 |
| 428-467 | Opponent Record | 471-523 |
| 229.5 | Avg Opponent Rank | 183.6 |
| L 10 | Longest Streak | W 6 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
UNC Wilmington
East Carolina
| Mar 12 | Monmouth NJ (18-12) | L61-72 | Mar 13 | UT San Antonio (17-16) | L44-54 |
| Mar 11 | Northeastern (7-22) | W51-50 | Mar 7 | at Tulsa (19-12) | W76-61 |
| Mar 7 | at Elon (15-16) | L54-66 | Feb 28 | vs Charlotte (14-18) | W64-57 |
| Mar 5 | at NC A&T (8-18) | L46-55 | Feb 25 | at Memphis (9-21) | L80-88 |
| Mar 1 | vs William & Mary (16-14) | L41-60 | Feb 21 | vs Rice (29-6) | L58-60 |
| Feb 22 | at Hofstra (10-22) | L43-75 | Feb 17 | vs FL Atlantic (13-18) | W74-61 |
| Feb 20 | at Stony Brook (15-15) | L55-60 | Feb 14 | at Temple (15-17) | W79-73 |
| Feb 15 | vs Campbell (18-12) | L52-54 | Feb 10 | at Tulane (11-20) | W65-61 |
| Feb 13 | vs NC A&T (8-18) | W69-64 | Feb 4 | vs South Florida (20-12) | W64-62 |
| Feb 6 | at Col Charleston (25-6) | L61-81 | Jan 30 | at Charlotte (14-18) | W67-61 |
