Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 28), 2026-27: Santa Clara 85%, Denver 15% at Denver.
Santa Clara's win probability against Denver is trending down — from 89% to 85% over the last 6 updates.
Santa Clara's win probability against Denver is trending down — from 91% to 88% over the last 6 updates.
Santa Clara's win probability against Denver has held at 91% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.