Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 28), 2026-27: St Joseph's PA 62%, Dayton 38% at Dayton.
St Joseph's PA's win probability against Dayton has held at 62% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
St Joseph's PA's win probability against Dayton has held at 68% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
St Joseph's PA's win probability against Dayton has held at 74% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.