Mt St Mary's at Dayton Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Dayton by 14.16
TOTAL POINTS
132
UPDATED
Wednesday, October 28, 2026
See this week's WCBB predictions
PRESEASON RATINGS
Mt St Mary's
Dayton 
|
69
D+
|
Overall |
85
B
|
|
68
D+
|
Power |
82
B-
|
|
67
D+
|
Offensive |
87
B+
|
|
71
C-
|
Defensive |
73
C-
|
|
|
SoS (Current) |
|
|
64
D
|
SoS (Full Season) |
85
B
|
PRESEASON RANKINGS
Mt St Mary's
Dayton
| 277 | Overall | 134 |
| 292 | Power | 159 |
| 295 | Offensive | 110 |
| 259 | Defensive | 241 |
| N/A | SoS (Current) | N/A |
| 329 | SoS (Full Season) | 129 |
Dayton#13482%
Mt St Mary's#27718%Pre (Oct 28), 2026-27: Dayton 82%, Mt St Mary's 18% at Dayton.
Dayton's win probability against Mt St Mary's is trending down — from 76% to 72% over the last 6 updates.
Dayton's win probability against Mt St Mary's has held at 78% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Dayton's win probability against Mt St Mary's is trending down — from 85% to 82% over the last 6 updates.
Dayton favored
Mt St Mary's favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | Season | At Mt St Mary's | Neutral | At Dayton |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 17 | 2025-26 | 72% | 78% | 82% |
| Wk 18 | 2025-26 | 74% | 79% | 83% |
| Wk 19 | 2025-26 | 76% | 80% | 85% |
| Wk 20 | 2025-26 | 76% | 81% | 85% |
| Wk 21 | 2025-26 | 75% | 80% | 84% |
| Wk 22 | 2025-26 | 75% | 80% | 84% |
| Wk 23 | 2025-26 | 75% | 80% | 84% |
| Wk 24 | 2025-26 | 75% | 80% | 84% |
| Pre | 2026-27 | 72% | 78% | 82% |
2025-2026 RECORDS
Mt St Mary's
Dayton
|
0-0 (0%) |
Head to Head |
0-0 (0%) |
|
15-15 (50%) |
Overall |
17-14 (54.8%) |
|
9-5 (64.3%) |
Home |
8-6 (57.1%) |
|
6-9 (40%) |
Away |
7-6 (53.8%) |
|
0-1 (0%) |
Versus Top 25 |
0-0 (0%) |
|
3-9 (25%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
5-8 (38.5%) |
|
12-6 (66.7%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
12-6 (66.7%) |
|
6-4 (60%) |
Last 10 Games |
6-4 (60%) |
2025-2026 SUPERLATIVES
Mt St Mary's
Dayton
| #196 Lehigh | Best Win | #48 Kansas |
| #350 Canisius | Worst Loss | #221 St Louis |
| 29 pts vs #288 Mercyhurst | Largest MOV | 42 pts vs #288 Mercyhurst |
| 48 pts vs #19 Maryland | Largest MOD | 37 pts vs #87 Purdue |
OTHER 2025-2026 STATISTICS
Mt St Mary's
Dayton
| 60.1 | Points per Game | 67 |
| 62.4 | Points Against | 67.5 |
| 63.1 | Home PPG | 69.4 |
| 61.2 | Home PA | 66.9 |
| 58.1 | Away PPG | 64 |
| 63.5 | Away PA | 66.7 |
| 405-517 | Opponent Record | 496-501 |
| 258.2 | Avg Opponent Rank | 164.8 |
| W 4 | Longest Streak | W 3 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Mt St Mary's
Dayton
| Mar 7 | Merrimack (18-13) | L48-62 | Mar 6 | George Mason (23-10) | L85-87 |
| Feb 28 | vs Rider (7-22) | W54-46 | Mar 5 | G Washington (17-18) | W62-54 |
| Feb 26 | vs Sacred Heart (12-18) | W66-61 | Feb 28 | vs VCU (8-23) | W79-62 |
| Feb 21 | at Canisius (5-24) | L63-68 | Feb 25 | at Loyola-Chicago (16-18) | W67-58 |
| Feb 19 | at Niagara (1-28) | W76-57 | Feb 21 | at Davidson (21-12) | L67-79 |
| Feb 12 | vs Fairfield (28-5) | L43-69 | Feb 14 | vs St Louis (11-21) | W65-63 |
| Feb 7 | at Sacred Heart (12-18) | W68-63 | Feb 11 | vs George Mason (23-10) | L61-72 |
| Feb 5 | at Iona (19-12) | W63-62 | Feb 7 | at St Joseph's PA (18-11) | W75-73 |
| Jan 31 | vs St Peter's (6-23) | L61-73 | Feb 4 | at La Salle (18-14) | W68-60 |
| Jan 29 | at Rider (7-22) | W70-59 | Feb 1 | vs G Washington (17-18) | L54-66 |