Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 28), 2026-27: Colorado 91%, Fresno St 9% at Colorado.
Colorado's win probability against Fresno St is trending down — from 88% to 85% over the last 6 updates.
Colorado's win probability against Fresno St is trending down — from 91% to 88% over the last 6 updates.
Colorado's win probability against Fresno St has held at 91% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.