Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 28), 2026-27: Iowa St 78%, Cincinnati 22% at Cincinnati.
Iowa St's win probability against Cincinnati is trending down — from 83% to 78% over the last 6 updates.
Iowa St's win probability against Cincinnati is trending down — from 86% to 83% over the last 6 updates.
Iowa St's win probability against Cincinnati has held at 87% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.