Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 28), 2026-27: California 77%, Florida St 23% at California.
California's win probability against Florida St has held at 66% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
California's win probability against Florida St is trending down — from 74% to 71% over the last 6 updates.
California's win probability against Florida St has held at 77% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.