Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 4 (Oct 30), 2026-27: Washington 54%, Toronto 46% at Washington.
Washington's win probability against Toronto is trending down — from 61% to 47% over the last 6 updates.
Washington's win probability against Toronto is trending down — from 65% to 51% over the last 6 updates.
Washington's win probability against Toronto is trending down — from 68% to 54% over the last 6 updates.