Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 4 (Oct 30), 2026-27: St. Louis 50%, San Jose 50% at San Jose.
St. Louis' win probability against San Jose has swung between 45% and 50% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 50% now.
St. Louis' win probability against San Jose has swung between 49% and 54% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 53% now.
St. Louis' win probability against San Jose has swung between 53% and 58% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 57% now.