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Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 4 (Oct 30), 2026-27: San Jose 51%, Florida 49% at San Jose.
San Jose's win probability against Florida has swung between 41% and 46% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 43% now.
San Jose's win probability against Florida is trending up — from 44% to 47% over the last 6 updates.
San Jose's win probability against Florida is trending up — from 48% to 51% over the last 6 updates.