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Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 4 (Oct 30), 2026-27: Pittsburgh 51%, Montreal 49% at Pittsburgh.
Pittsburgh's win probability against Montreal has swung between 43% and 50% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 44% now.
Pittsburgh's win probability against Montreal has swung between 47% and 54% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 48% now.
Pittsburgh's win probability against Montreal has swung between 51% and 58% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 51% now.