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Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 4 (Oct 30), 2026-27: Pittsburgh 51%, Dallas 49% at Pittsburgh.
Pittsburgh's win probability against Dallas has swung between 41% and 46% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 43% now.
Pittsburgh's win probability against Dallas has swung between 45% and 50% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 47% now.
Pittsburgh's win probability against Dallas has swung between 49% and 54% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 51% now.