Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 4 (Oct 30), 2026-27: Vegas 59%, Philadelphia 41% at Philadelphia.
Vegas' win probability against Philadelphia is trending up — from 50% to 59% over the last 6 updates.
Vegas' win probability against Philadelphia is trending up — from 54% to 63% over the last 6 updates.
Vegas' win probability against Philadelphia is trending up — from 58% to 67% over the last 6 updates.