Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 4 (Oct 31), 2026-27: Tampa Bay 57%, Philadelphia 43% at Philadelphia.
Tampa Bay's win probability against Philadelphia has swung between 51% and 57% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 57% now.
Tampa Bay's win probability against Philadelphia has swung between 55% and 61% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 61% now.
Tampa Bay's win probability against Philadelphia has swung between 59% and 65% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 65% now.