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Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 4 (Oct 31), 2026-27: Montreal 56%, Pittsburgh 44% at Montreal.
Montreal's win probability against Pittsburgh has swung between 42% and 49% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 49% now.
Montreal's win probability against Pittsburgh has swung between 46% and 53% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 52% now.
Montreal's win probability against Pittsburgh has swung between 50% and 57% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 56% now.