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Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 4 (Oct 30), 2026-27: Florida 58%, Winnipeg 42% at Florida.
Florida's win probability against Winnipeg has swung between 45% and 50% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 50% now.
Florida's win probability against Winnipeg has swung between 49% and 54% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 54% now.
Florida's win probability against Winnipeg has swung between 53% and 58% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 58% now.