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Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 2 (Oct 30), 2026-27: Toronto 51%, Houston 49% at Toronto.
Toronto's win probability against Houston has swung between 38% and 50% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 38% now.
Toronto's win probability against Houston has swung between 44% and 56% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 44% now.
Toronto's win probability against Houston has swung between 51% and 62% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 51% now.