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Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 2 (Oct 30), 2026-27: Portland 69%, Indiana 31% at Portland.
Portland's win probability against Indiana has swung between 47% and 66% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 57% now.
Portland's win probability against Indiana has swung between 53% and 72% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 63% now.
Portland's win probability against Indiana has swung between 59% and 77% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 69% now.