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Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 2 (Oct 30), 2026-27: Houston 62%, Toronto 38% at Houston.
Houston's win probability against Toronto has swung between 38% and 49% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 49% now.
Houston's win probability against Toronto has swung between 44% and 56% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 56% now.
Houston's win probability against Toronto has swung between 50% and 62% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 62% now.