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Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 2 (Oct 31), 2026-27: Miami 67%, Chicago 33% at Chicago.
Miami's win probability against Chicago has swung between 52% and 67% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 67% now.
Miami's win probability against Chicago has swung between 59% and 73% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 73% now.
Miami's win probability against Chicago has swung between 65% and 78% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 78% now.