Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Miami
Boston
|
77
C+
|
Overall |
94
A
|
|
84
B
|
Power |
94
A
|
|
99
A+
6099
|
Offensive |
68
D+
6099
|
|
Miami
6099
Boston
6099
|
||
|
71
C-
6099
|
Defensive |
99
A+
6099
|
|
Miami
6099
Boston
6099
|
||
|
73
C-
|
SoS (Current) |
60
D-
|
|
73
C-
|
SoS (Future) |
60
D-
|
Miami
Boston
| 17 | Overall | 5 |
| 12 | Power | 5 |
| 1 | Offensive | 24 |
| 22 | Defensive | 1 |
| 20 | SoS (Current) | 30 |
| 20 | SoS (Future) | 30 |
Wk 35 (Jun 15), 2025-26: Boston 68%, Miami 32% at Boston.
Boston's win probability against Miami has held at 56% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Boston's win probability against Miami has held at 62% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Boston's win probability against Miami has held at 68% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At Miami | Neutral | At Boston |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 6 | 37% | 43% | 49% |
| Wk 7 | 39% | 46% | 52% |
| Wk 8 | 42% | 48% | 54% |
| Wk 9 | 46% | 52% | 58% |
| Wk 10 | 48% | 55% | 61% |
| Wk 11 | 43% | 50% | 56% |
| Wk 12 | 49% | 56% | 62% |
| Wk 13 | 50% | 57% | 63% |
| Wk 14 | 53% | 60% | 66% |
| Wk 15 | 51% | 57% | 63% |
| Wk 16 | 51% | 58% | 64% |
| Wk 17 | 49% | 56% | 62% |
| Wk 18 | 50% | 56% | 63% |
| Wk 19 | 52% | 59% | 65% |
| Wk 20 | 50% | 57% | 63% |
| Wk 21 | 50% | 56% | 62% |
| Wk 22 | 52% | 59% | 65% |
| Wk 23 | 53% | 60% | 66% |
| Wk 24 | 56% | 62% | 68% |
| Wk 25 | 58% | 65% | 70% |
| Wk 26 | 57% | 63% | 69% |
| Wk 27 | 57% | 63% | 69% |
| Wk 28 | 57% | 63% | 69% |
| Wk 29 | 56% | 62% | 68% |
| Wk 30 | 56% | 62% | 68% |
| Wk 31 | 56% | 62% | 68% |
| Wk 32 | 56% | 62% | 68% |
| Wk 33 | 56% | 62% | 68% |
| Wk 34 | 56% | 62% | 68% |
| Wk 35 | 56% | 62% | 68% |
Miami
Boston
|
0-4 (0%) |
Head to Head |
4-0 (100%) |
|
43-40 (51.8%) |
Overall |
59-30 (66.3%) |
|
26-15 (63.4%) |
Home |
31-14 (68.9%) |
|
17-25 (40.5%) |
Away |
28-16 (63.6%) |
|
5-10 (33.3%) |
Versus Top 5 |
3-9 (25%) |
|
21-31 (40.4%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
33-24 (57.9%) |
|
22-9 (71%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
26-6 (81.3%) |
|
4-6 (40%) |
Last 10 Games |
5-5 (50%) |
Miami
Boston
| #1 Oklahoma City | Best Win | #1 Oklahoma City |
| #29 Indiana | Worst Loss | #29 Indiana |
| 43 pts vs #21 Chicago | Largest MOV | 45 pts vs #30 Washington |
| 30 pts vs #16 Charlotte | Largest MOD | 29 pts vs #16 Charlotte |
Miami
Boston
| 120.9 | Points per Game | 114.2 |
| 118.6 | Points Against | 106.9 |
| 123.5 | Home PPG | 113.9 |
| 118.3 | Home PA | 106.9 |
| 118.5 | Away PPG | 114.5 |
| 119 | Away PA | 106.9 |
| 3689-3645 | Opponent Record | 3915-3965 |
| 15.2 | Avg Opponent Rank | 15.7 |
| W 7 | Longest Streak | W 5 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 3 |
Miami
Boston
| Apr 14 | at Charlotte (45-39) | L126-127 | May 2 | vs Philadelphia (50-44) | L100-109 |
| Apr 12 | vs Atlanta (48-40) | W143-117 | Apr 30 | at Philadelphia (50-44) | L93-106 |
| Apr 10 | at Washington (17-65) | W140-117 | Apr 28 | vs Philadelphia (50-44) | L97-113 |
| Apr 9 | at Toronto (49-40) | L114-128 | Apr 26 | at Philadelphia (50-44) | W128-96 |
| Apr 7 | at Toronto (49-40) | L95-121 | Apr 24 | at Philadelphia (50-44) | W108-100 |
| Apr 4 | vs Washington (17-65) | W152-136 | Apr 21 | vs Philadelphia (50-44) | L97-111 |
| Apr 1 | vs #5 Boston (59-30) | L129-147 | Apr 19 | vs Philadelphia (50-44) | W123-91 |
| Mar 30 | vs Philadelphia (50-44) | W119-109 | Apr 12 | vs Orlando (49-42) | W113-108 |
| Mar 29 | at Indiana (19-63) | L118-135 | Apr 10 | vs New Orleans (26-56) | W144-118 |
| Mar 27 | at Cleveland (60-40) | L128-149 | Apr 9 | at #3 New York (70-32) | L106-112 |
vs
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