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Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 2 (Oct 30), 2026-27: Boston 71%, Miami 29% at Boston.
Boston's win probability against Miami has swung between 43% and 59% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 59% now.
Boston's win probability against Miami has swung between 50% and 65% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 65% now.
Boston's win probability against Miami has swung between 56% and 71% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 71% now.