Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
New York
Washington
|
71
C-
|
Overall |
76
C
|
|
77
C+
|
Power |
82
B-
|
|
75
C
6099
|
Offensive |
96
A
6099
|
|
New York
6099
Washington
6099
|
||
|
77
C+
6099
|
Defensive |
67
D+
6099
|
|
New York
6099
Washington
6099
|
||
|
98
A+
|
SoS (Current) |
92
A-
|
|
98
A+
|
SoS (Full Season) |
92
A-
|
New York
Washington
| 22 | Overall | 18 |
| 17 | Power | 14 |
| 19 | Offensive | 3 |
| 17 | Defensive | 25 |
| 2 | SoS (Current) | 6 |
| 2 | SoS (Full Season) | 6 |
Wk 32 (Oct 30), 2026: Washington 54%, NY Mets 46% at Washington.
Washington's win probability against NY Mets has held at 49% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Washington's win probability against NY Mets has held at 51% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Washington's win probability against NY Mets has held at 54% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At NY Mets | Neutral | At Washington |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 3 | 48% | 50% | 53% |
| Wk 4 | 52% | 55% | 57% |
| Wk 5 | 52% | 55% | 57% |
| Wk 6 | 55% | 58% | 61% |
| Wk 7 | 55% | 58% | 61% |
| Wk 8 | 52% | 54% | 57% |
| Wk 9 | 50% | 53% | 56% |
| Wk 10 | 54% | 57% | 59% |
| Wk 11 | 52% | 55% | 57% |
| Wk 12 | 52% | 54% | 57% |
| Wk 13 | 52% | 55% | 58% |
| Wk 14 | 54% | 57% | 60% |
| Wk 15 | 56% | 58% | 61% |
| Wk 16 | 55% | 58% | 60% |
| Wk 17 | 57% | 59% | 62% |
| Wk 18 | 55% | 58% | 61% |
| Wk 19 | 53% | 56% | 58% |
| Wk 20 | 51% | 54% | 56% |
| Wk 21 | 51% | 54% | 56% |
| Wk 22 | 50% | 53% | 56% |
| Wk 23 | 51% | 54% | 56% |
| Wk 24 | 50% | 52% | 55% |
| Wk 25 | 49% | 51% | 54% |
| Wk 26 | 49% | 52% | 55% |
| Wk 27 | 49% | 52% | 54% |
| Wk 28 | 48% | 51% | 54% |
| Wk 29 | 49% | 51% | 54% |
| Wk 30 | 49% | 51% | 54% |
| Wk 31 | 49% | 51% | 54% |
| Wk 32 | 49% | 51% | 54% |
New York
Washington
|
7-6 (53.8%) |
Head to Head |
6-7 (46.2%) |
|
74-88 (45.7%) |
Overall |
77-85 (47.5%) |
|
36-45 (44.4%) |
Home |
39-42 (48.1%) |
|
38-43 (46.9%) |
Away |
38-43 (46.9%) |
|
15-19 (44.1%) |
Versus Top 5 |
9-22 (29%) |
|
35-46 (43.2%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
31-47 (39.7%) |
|
39-42 (48.1%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
46-38 (54.8%) |
|
5-5 (50%) |
Last 10 Games |
6-4 (60%) |
New York
Washington
| #1 Milwaukee | Best Win | #1 Milwaukee |
| #30 Colorado | Worst Loss | #30 Colorado |
| 11 runs vs #4 Atlanta | Largest MOV | 19 runs vs #28 Athletics |
| 12 runs vs #8 Philadelphia | Largest MOD | 14 runs vs #28 Athletics |
New York
Washington
| 4.3 | Runs per Game | 5.1 |
| 4.5 | Runs Against | 5 |
| 4.1 | Home RPG | 5.3 |
| 4.5 | Home RA | 5.5 |
| 4.5 | Away RPG | 4.8 |
| 4.5 | Away RA | 4.5 |
| 13583-13096 | Opponent Record | 13482-13180 |
| 13.6 | Avg Opponent Rank | 14.2 |
| L 12 | Longest Streak | L 7 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | W 1 |
New York
Washington
| Sep 27 | at Washington (77-85) | L4-6 | Sep 27 | vs NY Mets (74-88) | W6-4 |
| Sep 26 | at Washington (77-85) | W7-1 | Sep 26 | vs NY Mets (74-88) | L1-7 |
| Sep 25 | at Washington (77-85) | L6-7 | Sep 25 | vs NY Mets (74-88) | W7-6 |
| Sep 24 | at Texas (80-82) | L1-3 | Sep 23 | at Detroit (76-86) | W4-2 |
| Sep 23 | at Texas (80-82) | W7-2 | Sep 22 | at Detroit (76-86) | W3-1 |
| Sep 22 | at Texas (80-82) | W6-3 | Sep 21 | at Detroit (76-86) | L2-9 |
| Sep 20 | vs Philadelphia (89-76) | L2-7 | Sep 20 | at St. Louis (77-85) | L3-5 |
| Sep 19 | vs Philadelphia (89-76) | W10-3 | Sep 19 | at St. Louis (77-85) | W8-5 |
| Sep 18 | vs Philadelphia (89-76) | W6-3 | Sep 18 | at St. Louis (77-85) | W9-1 |
| Sep 17 | vs Philadelphia (89-76) | L0-3 | Sep 16 | vs Philadelphia (89-76) | L0-3 |