Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Washington
Baltimore
|
76
C
|
Overall |
80
B-
|
|
82
B-
|
Power |
75
C
|
|
96
A
6099
|
Offensive |
82
B-
6099
|
|
Washington
6099
Baltimore
6099
|
||
|
67
D+
6099
|
Defensive |
73
C-
6099
|
|
Washington
6099
Baltimore
6099
|
||
|
92
A-
|
SoS (Current) |
82
B-
|
|
92
A-
|
SoS (Full Season) |
82
B-
|
Washington
Baltimore
| 18 | Overall | 15 |
| 14 | Power | 19 |
| 3 | Offensive | 14 |
| 25 | Defensive | 20 |
| 6 | SoS (Current) | 14 |
| 6 | SoS (Full Season) | 14 |
Wk 32 (Oct 30), 2026: Washington 54%, Baltimore 46% at Washington.
Washington's win probability against Baltimore has held at 49% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Washington's win probability against Baltimore has held at 51% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Washington's win probability against Baltimore has held at 54% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At Baltimore | Neutral | At Washington |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 3 | 61% | 64% | 66% |
| Wk 4 | 45% | 47% | 50% |
| Wk 5 | 46% | 49% | 52% |
| Wk 6 | 53% | 56% | 59% |
| Wk 7 | 58% | 61% | 63% |
| Wk 8 | 54% | 57% | 59% |
| Wk 9 | 56% | 59% | 62% |
| Wk 10 | 55% | 58% | 60% |
| Wk 11 | 53% | 56% | 59% |
| Wk 12 | 51% | 54% | 56% |
| Wk 13 | 54% | 57% | 59% |
| Wk 14 | 51% | 53% | 56% |
| Wk 15 | 53% | 56% | 58% |
| Wk 16 | 52% | 54% | 57% |
| Wk 17 | 53% | 55% | 58% |
| Wk 18 | 51% | 54% | 56% |
| Wk 19 | 51% | 54% | 56% |
| Wk 20 | 51% | 54% | 57% |
| Wk 21 | 52% | 55% | 57% |
| Wk 22 | 51% | 54% | 56% |
| Wk 23 | 50% | 53% | 56% |
| Wk 24 | 50% | 52% | 55% |
| Wk 25 | 49% | 52% | 54% |
| Wk 26 | 49% | 52% | 55% |
| Wk 27 | 49% | 52% | 54% |
| Wk 28 | 49% | 51% | 54% |
| Wk 29 | 49% | 51% | 54% |
| Wk 30 | 49% | 51% | 54% |
| Wk 31 | 49% | 51% | 54% |
| Wk 32 | 49% | 51% | 54% |
Washington
Baltimore
|
4-2 (66.7%) |
Head to Head |
2-4 (33.3%) |
|
77-85 (47.5%) |
Overall |
78-82 (48.8%) |
|
39-42 (48.1%) |
Home |
38-42 (47.5%) |
|
38-43 (46.9%) |
Away |
40-40 (50%) |
|
9-22 (29%) |
Versus Top 5 |
14-20 (41.2%) |
|
31-47 (39.7%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
29-46 (38.7%) |
|
46-38 (54.8%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
49-36 (57.6%) |
|
6-4 (60%) |
Last 10 Games |
6-4 (60%) |
Washington
Baltimore
| #1 Milwaukee | Best Win | #2 LA Dodgers |
| #30 Colorado | Worst Loss | #30 Colorado |
| 19 runs vs #28 Athletics | Largest MOV | 12 runs vs #17 St. Louis |
| 14 runs vs #28 Athletics | Largest MOD | 16 runs vs #9 Boston |
Washington
Baltimore
| 5.1 | Runs per Game | 4.5 |
| 5 | Runs Against | 4.6 |
| 5.3 | Home RPG | 4.2 |
| 5.5 | Home RA | 4.4 |
| 4.8 | Away RPG | 4.7 |
| 4.5 | Away RA | 4.9 |
| 13482-13180 | Opponent Record | 13352-13072 |
| 14.2 | Avg Opponent Rank | 15.1 |
| L 7 | Longest Streak | W 7 |
| W 1 | Current Streak | L 1 |
Washington
Baltimore
| Sep 27 | vs NY Mets (74-88) | W6-4 | Sep 25 | at #5 NY Yankees (95-71) | L3-6 |
| Sep 26 | vs NY Mets (74-88) | L1-7 | Sep 25 | at #5 NY Yankees (95-71) | W10-2 |
| Sep 25 | vs NY Mets (74-88) | W7-6 | Sep 23 | vs Toronto (79-83) | W4-2 |
| Sep 23 | at Detroit (76-86) | W4-2 | Sep 21 | vs Toronto (79-83) | W4-3 |
| Sep 22 | at Detroit (76-86) | W3-1 | Sep 20 | vs #1 Milwaukee (114-61) | L0-3 |
| Sep 21 | at Detroit (76-86) | L2-9 | Sep 19 | vs #1 Milwaukee (114-61) | L0-1 |
| Sep 20 | at St. Louis (77-85) | L3-5 | Sep 18 | vs #1 Milwaukee (114-61) | L5-6 |
| Sep 19 | at St. Louis (77-85) | W8-5 | Sep 16 | at NY Mets (74-88) | W7-1 |
| Sep 18 | at St. Louis (77-85) | W9-1 | Sep 15 | at NY Mets (74-88) | W7-5 |
| Sep 16 | vs Philadelphia (89-76) | L0-3 | Sep 14 | at NY Mets (74-88) | W2-1 |