Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Washington
Arizona
|
69
D+
|
Overall |
87
B+
|
|
82
B-
|
Power |
80
B-
|
|
95
A
6099
|
Offensive |
79
C+
6099
|
|
Washington
6099
Arizona
6099
|
||
|
65
D
6099
|
Defensive |
83
B-
6099
|
|
Washington
6099
Arizona
6099
|
||
|
98
A+
|
SoS (Current) |
80
B-
|
|
94
A
|
SoS (Future) |
79
C+
|
Washington
Arizona
| 23 | Overall | 10 |
| 14 | Power | 15 |
| 4 | Offensive | 16 |
| 26 | Defensive | 13 |
| 2 | SoS (Current) | 15 |
| 5 | SoS (Future) | 16 |
Wk 26 (Sep 15), 2026: Washington 53%, Arizona 47% at Washington.
Washington's win probability against Arizona has held at 47% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Washington's win probability against Arizona has held at 50% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Washington's win probability against Arizona has held at 53% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At Arizona | Neutral | At Washington |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 36% | 39% | 41% |
| Wk 1 | 56% | 58% | 61% |
| Wk 2 | 57% | 60% | 62% |
| Wk 3 | 40% | 42% | 45% |
| Wk 4 | 40% | 42% | 45% |
| Wk 5 | 48% | 51% | 53% |
| Wk 6 | 52% | 55% | 57% |
| Wk 7 | 53% | 56% | 58% |
| Wk 8 | 48% | 51% | 53% |
| Wk 9 | 47% | 49% | 52% |
| Wk 10 | 47% | 50% | 53% |
| Wk 11 | 50% | 53% | 56% |
| Wk 12 | 51% | 54% | 56% |
| Wk 13 | 52% | 54% | 57% |
| Wk 14 | 52% | 54% | 57% |
| Wk 15 | 53% | 56% | 58% |
| Wk 16 | 51% | 53% | 56% |
| Wk 17 | 52% | 54% | 57% |
| Wk 18 | 49% | 52% | 55% |
| Wk 19 | 49% | 51% | 54% |
| Wk 20 | 48% | 51% | 53% |
| Wk 21 | 48% | 51% | 53% |
| Wk 22 | 47% | 50% | 52% |
| Wk 23 | 48% | 51% | 53% |
| Wk 24 | 48% | 51% | 53% |
| Wk 25 | 47% | 50% | 52% |
| Wk 26 | 47% | 50% | 53% |
Washington
Arizona
|
4-2 (66.7%) |
Head to Head |
2-4 (33.3%) |
|
70-81 (46.4%) |
Overall |
80-71 (53%) |
|
36-40 (47.4%) |
Home |
43-33 (56.6%) |
|
34-41 (45.3%) |
Away |
37-38 (49.3%) |
|
9-22 (29%) |
Versus Top 5 |
13-16 (44.8%) |
|
32-47 (40.5%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
32-37 (46.4%) |
|
38-34 (52.8%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
48-34 (58.5%) |
|
3-7 (30%) |
Last 10 Games |
6-4 (60%) |
Washington
Arizona
| #1 Milwaukee | Best Win | #1 Milwaukee |
| #30 Colorado | Worst Loss | #30 Colorado |
| 19 runs vs #28 Athletics | Largest MOV | 10 runs vs #28 Athletics |
| 14 runs vs #28 Athletics | Largest MOD | 15 runs vs #4 Atlanta |
Washington
Arizona
| 5.1 | Runs per Game | 4.5 |
| 5.1 | Runs Against | 4.4 |
| 5.4 | Home RPG | 4.6 |
| 5.6 | Home RA | 4.4 |
| 4.8 | Away RPG | 4.3 |
| 4.6 | Away RA | 4.5 |
| 11534-11175 | Opponent Record | 11333-11369 |
| 13.8 | Avg Opponent Rank | 15.4 |
| L 7 | Longest Streak | W 5 |
| W 3 | Current Streak | W 1 |
Washington
Arizona
| Sep 13 | vs LA Angels (57-93) | W6-5 | Sep 14 | vs Miami (74-77) | W8-7 |
| Sep 12 | vs LA Angels (57-93) | W6-5 | Sep 13 | vs Texas (74-76) | L6-7 |
| Sep 11 | vs LA Angels (57-93) | W4-3 | Sep 12 | vs Texas (74-76) | L2-6 |
| Sep 9 | at San Diego (82-68) | L2-9 | Sep 11 | vs Texas (74-76) | W9-1 |
| Sep 8 | at San Diego (82-68) | L4-5 | Sep 9 | at Kansas City (66-84) | L2-5 |
| Sep 7 | at San Diego (82-68) | L2-3 | Sep 8 | at Kansas City (66-84) | W5-3 |
| Sep 6 | at #2 LA Dodgers (91-59) | L5-7 | Sep 7 | at Kansas City (66-84) | W5-4 |
| Sep 5 | at #2 LA Dodgers (91-59) | L5-6 | Sep 6 | at Houston (75-75) | W3-2 |
| Sep 4 | at #2 LA Dodgers (91-59) | L3-5 | Sep 5 | at Houston (75-75) | W4-3 |
| Sep 2 | vs #4 Atlanta (88-63) | L0-9 | Sep 4 | at Houston (75-75) | L1-3 |
vs
Major League Baseball