Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Toronto
Miami
|
79
C+
|
Overall |
82
B-
|
|
73
C-
|
Power |
80
B-
|
|
64
D
6099
|
Offensive |
80
B-
6099
|
|
Toronto
6099
Miami
6099
|
||
|
83
B-
6099
|
Defensive |
84
B
6099
|
|
Toronto
6099
Miami
6099
|
||
|
83
B-
|
SoS (Current) |
90
A-
|
|
83
B-
|
SoS (Full Season) |
90
A-
|
Toronto
Miami
| 16 | Overall | 14 |
| 20 | Power | 15 |
| 27 | Offensive | 15 |
| 13 | Defensive | 12 |
| 13 | SoS (Current) | 8 |
| 13 | SoS (Full Season) | 8 |
Wk 32 (Oct 30), 2026: Toronto 50%, Miami 50% at Toronto.
Toronto's win probability against Miami has held at 45% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Toronto's win probability against Miami has held at 47% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Toronto's win probability against Miami has held at 50% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At Miami | Neutral | At Toronto |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 3 | 36% | 38% | 41% |
| Wk 4 | 34% | 36% | 39% |
| Wk 5 | 35% | 37% | 40% |
| Wk 6 | 39% | 42% | 44% |
| Wk 7 | 43% | 46% | 49% |
| Wk 8 | 47% | 49% | 52% |
| Wk 9 | 48% | 51% | 54% |
| Wk 10 | 48% | 51% | 53% |
| Wk 11 | 48% | 50% | 53% |
| Wk 12 | 45% | 48% | 50% |
| Wk 13 | 44% | 47% | 50% |
| Wk 14 | 43% | 46% | 49% |
| Wk 15 | 42% | 45% | 48% |
| Wk 16 | 41% | 44% | 47% |
| Wk 17 | 41% | 44% | 46% |
| Wk 18 | 41% | 44% | 47% |
| Wk 19 | 43% | 45% | 48% |
| Wk 20 | 43% | 46% | 49% |
| Wk 21 | 43% | 46% | 48% |
| Wk 22 | 44% | 47% | 49% |
| Wk 23 | 44% | 46% | 49% |
| Wk 24 | 46% | 48% | 51% |
| Wk 25 | 45% | 48% | 51% |
| Wk 26 | 45% | 48% | 51% |
| Wk 27 | 45% | 47% | 50% |
| Wk 28 | 45% | 47% | 50% |
| Wk 29 | 45% | 48% | 50% |
| Wk 30 | 45% | 47% | 50% |
| Wk 31 | 45% | 47% | 50% |
| Wk 32 | 45% | 47% | 50% |
Toronto
Miami
|
2-1 (66.7%) |
Head to Head |
1-2 (33.3%) |
|
79-82 (49.1%) |
Overall |
80-82 (49.4%) |
|
42-39 (51.9%) |
Home |
47-34 (58%) |
|
37-43 (46.3%) |
Away |
33-48 (40.7%) |
|
13-22 (37.1%) |
Versus Top 5 |
13-21 (38.2%) |
|
35-43 (44.9%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
33-47 (41.3%) |
|
44-39 (53%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
47-35 (57.3%) |
|
4-6 (40%) |
Last 10 Games |
5-5 (50%) |
Toronto
Miami
| #1 Milwaukee | Best Win | #1 Milwaukee |
| #30 Colorado | Worst Loss | #30 Colorado |
| 13 runs vs #29 LA Angels | Largest MOV | 12 runs vs #4 Atlanta |
| 14 runs vs #7 Chi Cubs | Largest MOD | 12 runs vs #11 Pittsburgh |
Toronto
Miami
| 4 | Runs per Game | 4.4 |
| 4.3 | Runs Against | 4.4 |
| 4 | Home RPG | 4.5 |
| 4.3 | Home RA | 4 |
| 4.1 | Away RPG | 4.4 |
| 4.2 | Away RA | 4.8 |
| 13474-13102 | Opponent Record | 13517-13190 |
| 14.8 | Avg Opponent Rank | 14.4 |
| L 6 | Longest Streak | L 12 |
| W 1 | Current Streak | W 1 |
Toronto
Miami
| Sep 27 | vs Cincinnati (75-87) | W5-1 | Sep 27 | vs #4 Atlanta (97-72) | W5-3 |
| Sep 26 | vs Cincinnati (75-87) | L1-5 | Sep 26 | vs #4 Atlanta (97-72) | L3-8 |
| Sep 25 | vs Cincinnati (75-87) | W6-5 | Sep 25 | vs #4 Atlanta (97-72) | W3-0 |
| Sep 23 | at Baltimore (79-82) | L2-4 | Sep 24 | at Chi Cubs (89-75) | L1-2 |
| Sep 21 | at Baltimore (79-82) | L3-4 | Sep 23 | at Chi Cubs (89-75) | W3-2 |
| Sep 20 | at Texas (80-82) | W7-2 | Sep 22 | at Chi Cubs (89-75) | W8-2 |
| Sep 19 | at Texas (80-82) | L2-6 | Sep 20 | at San Diego (94-74) | L3-7 |
| Sep 18 | at Texas (80-82) | L1-7 | Sep 19 | at San Diego (94-74) | L6-7 |
| Sep 16 | vs Detroit (76-86) | W5-1 | Sep 18 | at San Diego (94-74) | L2-8 |
| Sep 15 | vs Detroit (76-86) | L1-10 | Sep 16 | at Arizona (86-76) | W4-3 |