Miami at Tampa Bay Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
RUN SPREAD
Tampa Bay by 0.66
TOTAL RUNS
8.57
UPDATED
Friday, October 30, 2026
RATINGS
Miami
Tampa Bay 
|
82
B-
|
Overall |
96
A
|
|
80
B-
|
Power |
92
A-
|
|
80
B-
|
Offensive |
88
B+
|
|
84
B
|
Defensive |
92
A-
|
|
90
A-
|
SoS (Current) |
76
C
|
|
90
A-
|
SoS (Full Season) |
76
C
|
RANKINGS
Miami
Tampa Bay
| 14 | Overall | 3 |
| 15 | Power | 6 |
| 15 | Offensive | 9 |
| 12 | Defensive | 6 |
| 8 | SoS (Current) | 18 |
| 8 | SoS (Full Season) | 18 |
Tampa Bay#356%
Miami#1444%Wk 32 (Oct 30), 2026: Tampa Bay 56%, Miami 44% at Tampa Bay.
Tampa Bay's win probability against Miami has held at 51% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Tampa Bay's win probability against Miami has held at 53% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Tampa Bay's win probability against Miami has held at 56% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Tampa Bay favored
Miami favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At Miami | Neutral | At Tampa Bay |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 3 | 41% | 43% | 46% |
| Wk 4 | 46% | 48% | 51% |
| Wk 5 | 43% | 46% | 49% |
| Wk 6 | 47% | 50% | 52% |
| Wk 7 | 53% | 55% | 58% |
| Wk 8 | 56% | 58% | 61% |
| Wk 9 | 56% | 59% | 61% |
| Wk 10 | 53% | 55% | 58% |
| Wk 11 | 50% | 53% | 55% |
| Wk 12 | 47% | 50% | 52% |
| Wk 13 | 48% | 50% | 53% |
| Wk 14 | 48% | 50% | 53% |
| Wk 15 | 49% | 51% | 54% |
| Wk 16 | 48% | 51% | 53% |
| Wk 17 | 47% | 50% | 52% |
| Wk 18 | 50% | 53% | 55% |
| Wk 19 | 50% | 53% | 55% |
| Wk 20 | 50% | 53% | 56% |
| Wk 21 | 50% | 53% | 56% |
| Wk 22 | 49% | 51% | 54% |
| Wk 23 | 49% | 52% | 55% |
| Wk 24 | 49% | 51% | 54% |
| Wk 25 | 50% | 52% | 55% |
| Wk 26 | 51% | 53% | 56% |
| Wk 27 | 50% | 53% | 55% |
| Wk 28 | 51% | 53% | 56% |
| Wk 29 | 51% | 54% | 56% |
| Wk 30 | 51% | 53% | 56% |
| Wk 31 | 51% | 54% | 56% |
| Wk 32 | 51% | 53% | 56% |
RECORDS
Miami
Tampa Bay
|
3-3 (50%) |
Head to Head |
3-3 (50%) |
|
80-82 (49.4%) |
Overall |
106-70 (60.2%) |
|
47-34 (58%) |
Home |
60-29 (67.4%) |
|
33-48 (40.7%) |
Away |
46-41 (52.9%) |
|
13-21 (38.2%) |
Versus Top 5 |
14-16 (46.7%) |
|
33-47 (41.3%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
44-32 (57.9%) |
|
47-35 (57.3%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
62-38 (62%) |
|
5-5 (50%) |
Last 10 Games |
5-5 (50%) |
SUPERLATIVES
Miami
Tampa Bay
| #1 Milwaukee | Best Win | #1 Milwaukee |
| #30 Colorado | Worst Loss | #29 LA Angels |
| 12 runs vs #4 Atlanta | Largest MOV | 11 runs vs #8 Philadelphia |
| 12 runs vs #11 Pittsburgh | Largest MOD | 11 runs vs #29 LA Angels |
OTHER STATISTICS
Miami
Tampa Bay
| 4.4 | Runs per Game | 4.4 |
| 4.4 | Runs Against | 4 |
| 4.5 | Home RPG | 4.5 |
| 4 | Home RA | 4 |
| 4.4 | Away RPG | 4.4 |
| 4.8 | Away RA | 4 |
| 13517-13190 | Opponent Record | 14562-14395 |
| 14.4 | Avg Opponent Rank | 15.2 |
| L 12 | Longest Streak | W 9 |
| W 1 | Current Streak | L 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Miami
Tampa Bay
| Sep 27 | vs #4 Atlanta (97-72) | W5-3 | Oct 28 | vs #1 Milwaukee (114-61) | L1-4 |
| Sep 26 | vs #4 Atlanta (97-72) | L3-8 | Oct 27 | vs #1 Milwaukee (114-61) | W4-3 |
| Sep 25 | vs #4 Atlanta (97-72) | W3-0 | Oct 26 | vs #1 Milwaukee (114-61) | L1-10 |
| Sep 24 | at Chi Cubs (89-75) | L1-2 | Oct 24 | at #1 Milwaukee (114-61) | L4-5 |
| Sep 23 | at Chi Cubs (89-75) | W3-2 | Oct 23 | at #1 Milwaukee (114-61) | L2-3 |
| Sep 22 | at Chi Cubs (89-75) | W8-2 | Oct 19 | vs Cleveland (90-83) | W7-3 |
| Sep 20 | at San Diego (94-74) | L3-7 | Oct 18 | at Cleveland (90-83) | W3-1 |
| Sep 19 | at San Diego (94-74) | L6-7 | Oct 17 | at Cleveland (90-83) | W7-3 |
| Sep 18 | at San Diego (94-74) | L2-8 | Oct 15 | at Cleveland (90-83) | L2-3 |
| Sep 16 | at Arizona (86-76) | W4-3 | Oct 13 | vs Cleveland (90-83) | W3-1 |