Boston at Tampa Bay Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
RUN SPREAD
Tampa Bay by 0.43
TOTAL RUNS
8.17
UPDATED
Friday, October 30, 2026
RATINGS
Boston
Tampa Bay 
|
88
B+
|
Overall |
96
A
|
|
88
B+
|
Power |
92
A-
|
|
72
C-
|
Offensive |
88
B+
|
|
94
A
|
Defensive |
92
A-
|
|
77
C+
|
SoS (Current) |
76
C
|
|
77
C+
|
SoS (Full Season) |
76
C
|
RANKINGS
Boston
Tampa Bay
| 9 | Overall | 3 |
| 9 | Power | 6 |
| 21 | Offensive | 9 |
| 5 | Defensive | 6 |
| 17 | SoS (Current) | 18 |
| 17 | SoS (Full Season) | 18 |
Tampa Bay#354%
Boston#946%Wk 32 (Oct 30), 2026: Tampa Bay 54%, Boston 46% at Tampa Bay.
Tampa Bay's win probability against Boston has held at 49% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Tampa Bay's win probability against Boston has held at 51% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Tampa Bay's win probability against Boston has held at 54% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Tampa Bay favored
Boston favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At Boston | Neutral | At Tampa Bay |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 3 | 52% | 55% | 58% |
| Wk 4 | 51% | 53% | 56% |
| Wk 5 | 56% | 59% | 61% |
| Wk 6 | 54% | 57% | 59% |
| Wk 7 | 54% | 57% | 59% |
| Wk 8 | 57% | 60% | 62% |
| Wk 9 | 58% | 61% | 63% |
| Wk 10 | 54% | 57% | 60% |
| Wk 11 | 48% | 51% | 53% |
| Wk 12 | 48% | 51% | 54% |
| Wk 13 | 49% | 52% | 55% |
| Wk 14 | 49% | 52% | 54% |
| Wk 15 | 51% | 54% | 57% |
| Wk 16 | 48% | 51% | 53% |
| Wk 17 | 45% | 48% | 50% |
| Wk 18 | 46% | 49% | 51% |
| Wk 19 | 46% | 49% | 51% |
| Wk 20 | 43% | 46% | 48% |
| Wk 21 | 45% | 48% | 51% |
| Wk 22 | 43% | 46% | 48% |
| Wk 23 | 44% | 46% | 49% |
| Wk 24 | 45% | 48% | 51% |
| Wk 25 | 46% | 49% | 52% |
| Wk 26 | 47% | 50% | 52% |
| Wk 27 | 47% | 50% | 53% |
| Wk 28 | 49% | 51% | 54% |
| Wk 29 | 49% | 52% | 54% |
| Wk 30 | 49% | 51% | 54% |
| Wk 31 | 49% | 52% | 54% |
| Wk 32 | 49% | 51% | 54% |
RECORDS
Boston
Tampa Bay
|
6-7 (46.2%) |
Head to Head |
7-6 (53.8%) |
|
87-77 (53%) |
Overall |
106-70 (60.2%) |
|
41-40 (50.6%) |
Home |
60-29 (67.4%) |
|
46-37 (55.4%) |
Away |
46-41 (52.9%) |
|
19-21 (47.5%) |
Versus Top 5 |
14-16 (46.7%) |
|
35-32 (52.2%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
44-32 (57.9%) |
|
52-45 (53.6%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
62-38 (62%) |
|
3-7 (30%) |
Last 10 Games |
5-5 (50%) |
SUPERLATIVES
Boston
Tampa Bay
| #1 Milwaukee | Best Win | #1 Milwaukee |
| #30 Colorado | Worst Loss | #29 LA Angels |
| 16 runs vs #15 Baltimore | Largest MOV | 11 runs vs #8 Philadelphia |
| 15 runs vs #5 NY Yankees | Largest MOD | 11 runs vs #29 LA Angels |
OTHER STATISTICS
Boston
Tampa Bay
| 4.2 | Runs per Game | 4.4 |
| 3.8 | Runs Against | 4 |
| 4.3 | Home RPG | 4.5 |
| 3.9 | Home RA | 4 |
| 4.1 | Away RPG | 4.4 |
| 3.7 | Away RA | 4 |
| 13646-13409 | Opponent Record | 14562-14395 |
| 15.2 | Avg Opponent Rank | 15.2 |
| W 15 | Longest Streak | W 9 |
| L 3 | Current Streak | L 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Boston
Tampa Bay
| Sep 30 | at #5 NY Yankees (95-71) | L2-9 | Oct 28 | vs #1 Milwaukee (114-61) | L1-4 |
| Sep 29 | at #5 NY Yankees (95-71) | L0-9 | Oct 27 | vs #1 Milwaukee (114-61) | W4-3 |
| Sep 27 | vs Chi Cubs (89-75) | L2-6 | Oct 26 | vs #1 Milwaukee (114-61) | L1-10 |
| Sep 25 | vs Chi Cubs (89-75) | W2-0 | Oct 24 | at #1 Milwaukee (114-61) | L4-5 |
| Sep 25 | vs Chi Cubs (89-75) | W4-3 | Oct 23 | at #1 Milwaukee (114-61) | L2-3 |
| Sep 24 | vs Cleveland (90-83) | L0-1 | Oct 19 | vs Cleveland (90-83) | W7-3 |
| Sep 23 | vs Cleveland (90-83) | W1-0 | Oct 18 | at Cleveland (90-83) | W3-1 |
| Sep 22 | vs Cleveland (90-83) | L2-3 | Oct 17 | at Cleveland (90-83) | W7-3 |
| Sep 20 | at #3 Tampa Bay (106-70) | L1-5 | Oct 15 | at Cleveland (90-83) | L2-3 |
| Sep 19 | at #3 Tampa Bay (106-70) | L1-2 | Oct 13 | vs Cleveland (90-83) | W3-1 |