Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
San Francisco
Pittsburgh
|
64
D
|
Overall |
86
B
|
|
68
D+
|
Power |
86
B
|
|
68
D+
6099
|
Offensive |
92
A-
6099
|
|
San Francisco
6099
Pittsburgh
6099
|
||
|
71
C-
6099
|
Defensive |
80
B-
6099
|
|
San Francisco
6099
Pittsburgh
6099
|
||
|
94
A
|
SoS (Current) |
88
B+
|
|
94
A
|
SoS (Full Season) |
88
B+
|
San Francisco
Pittsburgh
| 27 | Overall | 11 |
| 24 | Power | 11 |
| 24 | Offensive | 6 |
| 22 | Defensive | 15 |
| 5 | SoS (Current) | 9 |
| 5 | SoS (Full Season) | 9 |
Wk 32 (Oct 30), 2026: Pittsburgh 58%, San Francisco 42% at Pittsburgh.
Pittsburgh's win probability against San Francisco has held at 53% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Pittsburgh's win probability against San Francisco has held at 56% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Pittsburgh's win probability against San Francisco has held at 58% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At San Francisco | Neutral | At Pittsburgh |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 3 | 56% | 59% | 61% |
| Wk 4 | 68% | 71% | 73% |
| Wk 5 | 64% | 67% | 69% |
| Wk 6 | 62% | 65% | 67% |
| Wk 7 | 61% | 64% | 66% |
| Wk 8 | 60% | 63% | 65% |
| Wk 9 | 59% | 61% | 64% |
| Wk 10 | 57% | 60% | 62% |
| Wk 11 | 55% | 58% | 60% |
| Wk 12 | 54% | 57% | 59% |
| Wk 13 | 52% | 54% | 57% |
| Wk 14 | 53% | 56% | 58% |
| Wk 15 | 54% | 57% | 59% |
| Wk 16 | 56% | 58% | 61% |
| Wk 17 | 56% | 59% | 61% |
| Wk 18 | 57% | 60% | 62% |
| Wk 19 | 54% | 56% | 59% |
| Wk 20 | 53% | 56% | 58% |
| Wk 21 | 54% | 57% | 60% |
| Wk 22 | 55% | 58% | 61% |
| Wk 23 | 54% | 57% | 59% |
| Wk 24 | 53% | 56% | 58% |
| Wk 25 | 52% | 55% | 58% |
| Wk 26 | 53% | 55% | 58% |
| Wk 27 | 53% | 55% | 58% |
| Wk 28 | 53% | 56% | 58% |
| Wk 29 | 53% | 56% | 58% |
| Wk 30 | 53% | 56% | 58% |
| Wk 31 | 53% | 56% | 58% |
| Wk 32 | 53% | 56% | 58% |
San Francisco
Pittsburgh
|
3-3 (50%) |
Head to Head |
3-3 (50%) |
|
65-97 (40.1%) |
Overall |
82-80 (50.6%) |
|
37-44 (45.7%) |
Home |
44-37 (54.3%) |
|
28-53 (34.6%) |
Away |
38-43 (46.9%) |
|
13-19 (40.6%) |
Versus Top 5 |
12-19 (38.7%) |
|
31-54 (36.5%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
33-39 (45.8%) |
|
34-43 (44.2%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
49-41 (54.4%) |
|
2-8 (20%) |
Last 10 Games |
7-3 (70%) |
San Francisco
Pittsburgh
| #1 Milwaukee | Best Win | #1 Milwaukee |
| #30 Colorado | Worst Loss | #30 Colorado |
| 15 runs vs #7 Chi Cubs | Largest MOV | 12 runs vs #14 Miami |
| 14 runs vs #1 Milwaukee | Largest MOD | 11 runs vs #7 Chi Cubs |
San Francisco
Pittsburgh
| 4.1 | Runs per Game | 4.7 |
| 4.7 | Runs Against | 4.6 |
| 4.1 | Home RPG | 5.1 |
| 4.4 | Home RA | 4.8 |
| 4.2 | Away RPG | 4.4 |
| 5 | Away RA | 4.3 |
| 13564-13142 | Opponent Record | 13574-13129 |
| 14 | Avg Opponent Rank | 14.4 |
| L 6 | Longest Streak | W 5 |
| L 5 | Current Streak | W 1 |
San Francisco
Pittsburgh
| Sep 27 | vs #2 LA Dodgers (103-67) | L1-5 | Sep 27 | at Detroit (76-86) | W4-2 |
| Sep 26 | vs #2 LA Dodgers (103-67) | L3-4 | Sep 26 | at Detroit (76-86) | L3-4 |
| Sep 25 | vs #2 LA Dodgers (103-67) | L0-2 | Sep 25 | at Detroit (76-86) | L7-8 |
| Sep 23 | vs Minnesota (77-85) | L2-4 | Sep 24 | vs St. Louis (77-85) | W2-1 |
| Sep 22 | vs Minnesota (77-85) | L2-3 | Sep 23 | vs St. Louis (77-85) | L1-5 |
| Sep 21 | vs Minnesota (77-85) | W5-2 | Sep 22 | vs St. Louis (77-85) | W2-0 |
| Sep 20 | at #2 LA Dodgers (103-67) | L1-3 | Sep 20 | vs Kansas City (69-93) | W4-3 |
| Sep 19 | at #2 LA Dodgers (103-67) | L4-10 | Sep 19 | vs Kansas City (69-93) | W6-5 |
| Sep 18 | at #2 LA Dodgers (103-67) | L2-8 | Sep 18 | vs Kansas City (69-93) | W8-5 |
| Sep 16 | at St. Louis (77-85) | W6-5 | Sep 17 | vs #1 Milwaukee (114-61) | W7-4 |