Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
New York
Houston
|
71
C-
|
Overall |
72
C-
|
|
77
C+
|
Power |
71
C-
|
|
75
C
6099
|
Offensive |
73
C-
6099
|
|
New York
6099
Houston
6099
|
||
|
77
C+
6099
|
Defensive |
68
D+
6099
|
|
New York
6099
Houston
6099
|
||
|
98
A+
|
SoS (Current) |
60
D-
|
|
98
A+
|
SoS (Full Season) |
60
D-
|
New York
Houston
| 22 | Overall | 21 |
| 17 | Power | 22 |
| 19 | Offensive | 20 |
| 17 | Defensive | 24 |
| 2 | SoS (Current) | 30 |
| 2 | SoS (Full Season) | 30 |
Wk 32 (Oct 30), 2026: NY Mets 55%, Houston 45% at NY Mets.
NY Mets' win probability against Houston has held at 50% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
NY Mets' win probability against Houston has held at 52% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
NY Mets' win probability against Houston has held at 55% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At Houston | Neutral | At NY Mets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 3 | 50% | 52% | 55% |
| Wk 4 | 48% | 51% | 54% |
| Wk 5 | 49% | 51% | 54% |
| Wk 6 | 47% | 49% | 52% |
| Wk 7 | 47% | 49% | 52% |
| Wk 8 | 52% | 55% | 58% |
| Wk 9 | 55% | 57% | 60% |
| Wk 10 | 49% | 51% | 54% |
| Wk 11 | 50% | 53% | 55% |
| Wk 12 | 49% | 52% | 55% |
| Wk 13 | 50% | 53% | 55% |
| Wk 14 | 48% | 50% | 53% |
| Wk 15 | 48% | 50% | 53% |
| Wk 16 | 47% | 49% | 52% |
| Wk 17 | 47% | 50% | 52% |
| Wk 18 | 46% | 49% | 52% |
| Wk 19 | 48% | 50% | 53% |
| Wk 20 | 48% | 51% | 53% |
| Wk 21 | 49% | 52% | 54% |
| Wk 22 | 51% | 53% | 56% |
| Wk 23 | 50% | 53% | 55% |
| Wk 24 | 49% | 52% | 54% |
| Wk 25 | 49% | 52% | 55% |
| Wk 26 | 50% | 52% | 55% |
| Wk 27 | 50% | 53% | 55% |
| Wk 28 | 50% | 52% | 55% |
| Wk 29 | 50% | 52% | 55% |
| Wk 30 | 50% | 52% | 55% |
| Wk 31 | 50% | 52% | 55% |
| Wk 32 | 50% | 52% | 55% |
New York
Houston
|
1-2 (33.3%) |
Head to Head |
2-1 (66.7%) |
|
74-88 (45.7%) |
Overall |
81-83 (49.4%) |
|
36-45 (44.4%) |
Home |
39-44 (47%) |
|
38-43 (46.9%) |
Away |
42-39 (51.9%) |
|
15-19 (44.1%) |
Versus Top 5 |
7-14 (33.3%) |
|
35-46 (43.2%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
29-28 (50.9%) |
|
39-42 (48.1%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
52-55 (48.6%) |
|
5-5 (50%) |
Last 10 Games |
4-6 (40%) |
New York
Houston
| #1 Milwaukee | Best Win | #1 Milwaukee |
| #30 Colorado | Worst Loss | #30 Colorado |
| 11 runs vs #4 Atlanta | Largest MOV | 11 runs vs #28 Athletics |
| 12 runs vs #8 Philadelphia | Largest MOD | 15 runs vs #29 LA Angels |
New York
Houston
| 4.3 | Runs per Game | 4.5 |
| 4.5 | Runs Against | 4.8 |
| 4.1 | Home RPG | 4.2 |
| 4.5 | Home RA | 4.7 |
| 4.5 | Away RPG | 4.8 |
| 4.5 | Away RA | 4.8 |
| 13583-13096 | Opponent Record | 13036-13892 |
| 13.6 | Avg Opponent Rank | 17.9 |
| L 12 | Longest Streak | L 8 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 2 |
New York
Houston
| Sep 27 | at Washington (77-85) | L4-6 | Sep 30 | vs Chi White Sox (88-81) | L3-7 |
| Sep 26 | at Washington (77-85) | W7-1 | Sep 29 | vs Chi White Sox (88-81) | L3-6 |
| Sep 25 | at Washington (77-85) | L6-7 | Sep 27 | at Athletics (64-98) | W9-0 |
| Sep 24 | at Texas (80-82) | L1-3 | Sep 26 | at Athletics (64-98) | W13-2 |
| Sep 23 | at Texas (80-82) | W7-2 | Sep 25 | at Athletics (64-98) | L5-6 |
| Sep 22 | at Texas (80-82) | W6-3 | Sep 24 | at Athletics (64-98) | W7-5 |
| Sep 20 | vs Philadelphia (89-76) | L2-7 | Sep 23 | at Seattle (76-86) | L5-6 |
| Sep 19 | vs Philadelphia (89-76) | W10-3 | Sep 22 | at Seattle (76-86) | W7-0 |
| Sep 18 | vs Philadelphia (89-76) | W6-3 | Sep 20 | vs #4 Atlanta (97-72) | L2-4 |
| Sep 17 | vs Philadelphia (89-76) | L0-3 | Sep 19 | vs #4 Atlanta (97-72) | L3-6 |