Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Minnesota
Cincinnati
|
69
D+
|
Overall |
73
C-
|
|
72
C-
|
Power |
63
D-
|
|
83
B-
6099
|
Offensive |
67
D+
6099
|
|
Minnesota
6099
Cincinnati
6099
|
||
|
65
D
6099
|
Defensive |
63
D-
6099
|
|
Minnesota
6099
Cincinnati
6099
|
||
|
71
C-
|
SoS (Current) |
99
A+
|
|
71
C-
|
SoS (Full Season) |
99
A+
|
Minnesota
Cincinnati
| 23 | Overall | 20 |
| 21 | Power | 28 |
| 13 | Offensive | 25 |
| 26 | Defensive | 28 |
| 22 | SoS (Current) | 1 |
| 22 | SoS (Full Season) | 1 |
Wk 32 (Oct 30), 2026: Minnesota 56%, Cincinnati 44% at Minnesota.
Minnesota's win probability against Cincinnati has held at 51% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Minnesota's win probability against Cincinnati has held at 53% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Minnesota's win probability against Cincinnati has held at 56% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At Cincinnati | Neutral | At Minnesota |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 3 | 54% | 56% | 59% |
| Wk 4 | 55% | 57% | 60% |
| Wk 5 | 45% | 48% | 51% |
| Wk 6 | 48% | 51% | 54% |
| Wk 7 | 51% | 54% | 57% |
| Wk 8 | 51% | 54% | 56% |
| Wk 9 | 53% | 56% | 59% |
| Wk 10 | 51% | 53% | 56% |
| Wk 11 | 51% | 54% | 56% |
| Wk 12 | 50% | 53% | 56% |
| Wk 13 | 51% | 54% | 56% |
| Wk 14 | 49% | 52% | 55% |
| Wk 15 | 49% | 52% | 55% |
| Wk 16 | 50% | 53% | 56% |
| Wk 17 | 51% | 53% | 56% |
| Wk 18 | 49% | 52% | 54% |
| Wk 19 | 50% | 52% | 55% |
| Wk 20 | 48% | 51% | 54% |
| Wk 21 | 49% | 52% | 54% |
| Wk 22 | 50% | 53% | 56% |
| Wk 23 | 49% | 52% | 54% |
| Wk 24 | 50% | 53% | 56% |
| Wk 25 | 51% | 54% | 56% |
| Wk 26 | 50% | 53% | 56% |
| Wk 27 | 51% | 54% | 56% |
| Wk 28 | 51% | 54% | 56% |
| Wk 29 | 51% | 54% | 56% |
| Wk 30 | 51% | 53% | 56% |
| Wk 31 | 51% | 53% | 56% |
| Wk 32 | 51% | 53% | 56% |
Minnesota
Cincinnati
|
0-3 (0%) |
Head to Head |
3-0 (100%) |
|
77-85 (47.5%) |
Overall |
75-87 (46.3%) |
|
42-39 (51.9%) |
Home |
38-43 (46.9%) |
|
35-46 (43.2%) |
Away |
37-44 (45.7%) |
|
9-15 (37.5%) |
Versus Top 5 |
12-20 (37.5%) |
|
29-42 (40.8%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
36-52 (40.9%) |
|
48-43 (52.7%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
39-35 (52.7%) |
|
6-4 (60%) |
Last 10 Games |
4-6 (40%) |
Minnesota
Cincinnati
| #1 Milwaukee | Best Win | #1 Milwaukee |
| #30 Colorado | Worst Loss | #30 Colorado |
| 13 runs vs #24 Detroit | Largest MOV | 14 runs vs #18 Washington |
| 13 runs vs #13 Chi White Sox | Largest MOD | 20 runs vs #1 Milwaukee |
Minnesota
Cincinnati
| 4.6 | Runs per Game | 4.1 |
| 4.9 | Runs Against | 5.1 |
| 4.6 | Home RPG | 4 |
| 4.6 | Home RA | 4.7 |
| 4.5 | Away RPG | 4.2 |
| 5.2 | Away RA | 5.5 |
| 13316-13444 | Opponent Record | 13724-13017 |
| 16.3 | Avg Opponent Rank | 13.4 |
| L 5 | Longest Streak | L 8 |
| W 1 | Current Streak | L 1 |
Minnesota
Cincinnati
| Sep 27 | vs Texas (80-82) | W6-4 | Sep 27 | at Toronto (79-83) | L1-5 |
| Sep 26 | vs Texas (80-82) | L2-6 | Sep 26 | at Toronto (79-83) | W5-1 |
| Sep 25 | vs Texas (80-82) | W10-2 | Sep 25 | at Toronto (79-83) | L5-6 |
| Sep 23 | at San Francisco (65-97) | W4-2 | Sep 24 | at #4 Atlanta (97-72) | W7-6 |
| Sep 22 | at San Francisco (65-97) | W3-2 | Sep 23 | at #4 Atlanta (97-72) | L2-3 |
| Sep 21 | at San Francisco (65-97) | L2-5 | Sep 22 | at #4 Atlanta (97-72) | W4-0 |
| Sep 20 | at LA Angels (62-100) | W8-0 | Sep 20 | vs Chi Cubs (89-75) | L1-9 |
| Sep 19 | at LA Angels (62-100) | L5-6 | Sep 19 | vs Chi Cubs (89-75) | L2-5 |
| Sep 18 | at LA Angels (62-100) | W3-0 | Sep 18 | vs Chi Cubs (89-75) | W6-4 |
| Sep 17 | at LA Angels (62-100) | L4-5 | Sep 17 | vs #2 LA Dodgers (103-67) | L2-8 |