Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Tampa Bay
Milwaukee
|
96
A
|
Overall |
99
A+
|
|
92
A-
|
Power |
99
A+
|
|
88
B+
6099
|
Offensive |
99
A+
6099
|
|
Tampa Bay
6099
Milwaukee
6099
|
||
|
92
A-
6099
|
Defensive |
99
A+
6099
|
|
Tampa Bay
6099
Milwaukee
6099
|
||
|
76
C
|
SoS (Current) |
91
A-
|
|
76
C
|
SoS (Full Season) |
91
A-
|
Tampa Bay
Milwaukee
| 3 | Overall | 1 |
| 6 | Power | 1 |
| 9 | Offensive | 1 |
| 6 | Defensive | 1 |
| 18 | SoS (Current) | 7 |
| 18 | SoS (Full Season) | 7 |
Wk 32 (Oct 30), 2026: Milwaukee 60%, Tampa Bay 40% at Milwaukee.
Milwaukee's win probability against Tampa Bay has held at 54% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Milwaukee's win probability against Tampa Bay has held at 57% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Milwaukee's win probability against Tampa Bay has held at 60% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At Tampa Bay | Neutral | At Milwaukee |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 3 | 57% | 60% | 62% |
| Wk 4 | 50% | 53% | 55% |
| Wk 5 | 50% | 53% | 55% |
| Wk 6 | 56% | 58% | 61% |
| Wk 7 | 56% | 58% | 61% |
| Wk 8 | 54% | 57% | 59% |
| Wk 9 | 55% | 57% | 60% |
| Wk 10 | 57% | 59% | 62% |
| Wk 11 | 60% | 62% | 65% |
| Wk 12 | 60% | 62% | 65% |
| Wk 13 | 60% | 62% | 65% |
| Wk 14 | 59% | 62% | 64% |
| Wk 15 | 56% | 59% | 61% |
| Wk 16 | 56% | 59% | 62% |
| Wk 17 | 57% | 59% | 62% |
| Wk 18 | 55% | 57% | 60% |
| Wk 19 | 55% | 57% | 60% |
| Wk 20 | 54% | 57% | 59% |
| Wk 21 | 52% | 55% | 57% |
| Wk 22 | 56% | 59% | 61% |
| Wk 23 | 56% | 59% | 61% |
| Wk 24 | 54% | 57% | 60% |
| Wk 25 | 54% | 57% | 60% |
| Wk 26 | 53% | 56% | 59% |
| Wk 27 | 54% | 56% | 59% |
| Wk 28 | 53% | 56% | 59% |
| Wk 29 | 53% | 56% | 58% |
| Wk 30 | 54% | 56% | 59% |
| Wk 31 | 53% | 56% | 59% |
| Wk 32 | 54% | 57% | 60% |
Tampa Bay
Milwaukee
|
2-6 (25%) |
Head to Head |
6-2 (75%) |
|
106-70 (60.2%) |
Overall |
114-61 (65.1%) |
|
60-29 (67.4%) |
Home |
61-26 (70.1%) |
|
46-41 (52.9%) |
Away |
53-35 (60.2%) |
|
14-16 (46.7%) |
Versus Top 5 |
20-8 (71.4%) |
|
44-32 (57.9%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
54-31 (63.5%) |
|
62-38 (62%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
60-30 (66.7%) |
|
5-5 (50%) |
Last 10 Games |
9-1 (90%) |
Tampa Bay
Milwaukee
| #1 Milwaukee | Best Win | #2 LA Dodgers |
| #29 LA Angels | Worst Loss | #30 Colorado |
| 11 runs vs #8 Philadelphia | Largest MOV | 22 runs vs #25 Seattle |
| 11 runs vs #29 LA Angels | Largest MOD | 14 runs vs #7 Chi Cubs |
Tampa Bay
Milwaukee
| 4.4 | Runs per Game | 5.1 |
| 4 | Runs Against | 3.7 |
| 4.5 | Home RPG | 5.4 |
| 4 | Home RA | 3.4 |
| 4.4 | Away RPG | 4.8 |
| 4 | Away RA | 4 |
| 14562-14395 | Opponent Record | 14481-14290 |
| 15.2 | Avg Opponent Rank | 14.3 |
| W 9 | Longest Streak | W 8 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | W 1 |
Tampa Bay
Milwaukee
| Oct 28 | vs #1 Milwaukee (114-61) | L1-4 | Oct 28 | at #3 Tampa Bay (106-70) | W4-1 |
| Oct 27 | vs #1 Milwaukee (114-61) | W4-3 | Oct 27 | at #3 Tampa Bay (106-70) | L3-4 |
| Oct 26 | vs #1 Milwaukee (114-61) | L1-10 | Oct 26 | at #3 Tampa Bay (106-70) | W10-1 |
| Oct 24 | at #1 Milwaukee (114-61) | L4-5 | Oct 24 | vs #3 Tampa Bay (106-70) | W5-4 |
| Oct 23 | at #1 Milwaukee (114-61) | L2-3 | Oct 23 | vs #3 Tampa Bay (106-70) | W3-2 |
| Oct 19 | vs Cleveland (90-83) | W7-3 | Oct 15 | at #2 LA Dodgers (103-67) | W6-4 |
| Oct 18 | at Cleveland (90-83) | W3-1 | Oct 14 | at #2 LA Dodgers (103-67) | W6-2 |
| Oct 17 | at Cleveland (90-83) | W7-3 | Oct 12 | vs #2 LA Dodgers (103-67) | W7-4 |
| Oct 15 | at Cleveland (90-83) | L2-3 | Oct 11 | vs #2 LA Dodgers (103-67) | W2-1 |
| Oct 13 | vs Cleveland (90-83) | W3-1 | Oct 7 | at San Diego (94-74) | W3-1 |