Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Houston
Tampa Bay
|
72
C-
|
Overall |
96
A
|
|
71
C-
|
Power |
92
A-
|
|
73
C-
6099
|
Offensive |
88
B+
6099
|
|
Houston
6099
Tampa Bay
6099
|
||
|
68
D+
6099
|
Defensive |
92
A-
6099
|
|
Houston
6099
Tampa Bay
6099
|
||
|
60
D-
|
SoS (Current) |
76
C
|
|
60
D-
|
SoS (Full Season) |
76
C
|
Houston
Tampa Bay
| 21 | Overall | 3 |
| 22 | Power | 6 |
| 20 | Offensive | 9 |
| 24 | Defensive | 6 |
| 30 | SoS (Current) | 18 |
| 30 | SoS (Full Season) | 18 |
Wk 32 (Oct 30), 2026: Tampa Bay 54%, Houston 46% at Houston.
Tampa Bay's win probability against Houston has held at 54% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Tampa Bay's win probability against Houston has held at 57% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Tampa Bay's win probability against Houston has held at 59% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At Houston | Neutral | At Tampa Bay |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 3 | 43% | 45% | 48% |
| Wk 4 | 55% | 57% | 60% |
| Wk 5 | 55% | 58% | 60% |
| Wk 6 | 58% | 61% | 63% |
| Wk 7 | 58% | 60% | 63% |
| Wk 8 | 63% | 66% | 68% |
| Wk 9 | 65% | 68% | 70% |
| Wk 10 | 58% | 61% | 63% |
| Wk 11 | 52% | 55% | 58% |
| Wk 12 | 53% | 56% | 58% |
| Wk 13 | 53% | 56% | 59% |
| Wk 14 | 56% | 58% | 61% |
| Wk 15 | 57% | 60% | 62% |
| Wk 16 | 56% | 59% | 61% |
| Wk 17 | 55% | 57% | 60% |
| Wk 18 | 55% | 58% | 60% |
| Wk 19 | 54% | 57% | 59% |
| Wk 20 | 53% | 56% | 58% |
| Wk 21 | 54% | 57% | 60% |
| Wk 22 | 54% | 57% | 60% |
| Wk 23 | 55% | 58% | 60% |
| Wk 24 | 52% | 55% | 57% |
| Wk 25 | 53% | 56% | 58% |
| Wk 26 | 54% | 57% | 60% |
| Wk 27 | 54% | 57% | 60% |
| Wk 28 | 54% | 57% | 59% |
| Wk 29 | 54% | 57% | 60% |
| Wk 30 | 54% | 57% | 59% |
| Wk 31 | 55% | 57% | 60% |
| Wk 32 | 54% | 57% | 59% |
Houston
Tampa Bay
|
2-4 (33.3%) |
Head to Head |
4-2 (66.7%) |
|
81-83 (49.4%) |
Overall |
106-70 (60.2%) |
|
39-44 (47%) |
Home |
60-29 (67.4%) |
|
42-39 (51.9%) |
Away |
46-41 (52.9%) |
|
7-14 (33.3%) |
Versus Top 5 |
14-16 (46.7%) |
|
29-28 (50.9%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
44-32 (57.9%) |
|
52-55 (48.6%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
62-38 (62%) |
|
4-6 (40%) |
Last 10 Games |
5-5 (50%) |
Houston
Tampa Bay
| #1 Milwaukee | Best Win | #1 Milwaukee |
| #30 Colorado | Worst Loss | #29 LA Angels |
| 11 runs vs #28 Athletics | Largest MOV | 11 runs vs #8 Philadelphia |
| 15 runs vs #29 LA Angels | Largest MOD | 11 runs vs #29 LA Angels |
Houston
Tampa Bay
| 4.5 | Runs per Game | 4.4 |
| 4.8 | Runs Against | 4 |
| 4.2 | Home RPG | 4.5 |
| 4.7 | Home RA | 4 |
| 4.8 | Away RPG | 4.4 |
| 4.8 | Away RA | 4 |
| 13036-13892 | Opponent Record | 14562-14395 |
| 17.9 | Avg Opponent Rank | 15.2 |
| L 8 | Longest Streak | W 9 |
| L 2 | Current Streak | L 1 |
Houston
Tampa Bay
| Sep 30 | vs Chi White Sox (88-81) | L3-7 | Oct 28 | vs #1 Milwaukee (114-61) | L1-4 |
| Sep 29 | vs Chi White Sox (88-81) | L3-6 | Oct 27 | vs #1 Milwaukee (114-61) | W4-3 |
| Sep 27 | at Athletics (64-98) | W9-0 | Oct 26 | vs #1 Milwaukee (114-61) | L1-10 |
| Sep 26 | at Athletics (64-98) | W13-2 | Oct 24 | at #1 Milwaukee (114-61) | L4-5 |
| Sep 25 | at Athletics (64-98) | L5-6 | Oct 23 | at #1 Milwaukee (114-61) | L2-3 |
| Sep 24 | at Athletics (64-98) | W7-5 | Oct 19 | vs Cleveland (90-83) | W7-3 |
| Sep 23 | at Seattle (76-86) | L5-6 | Oct 18 | at Cleveland (90-83) | W3-1 |
| Sep 22 | at Seattle (76-86) | W7-0 | Oct 17 | at Cleveland (90-83) | W7-3 |
| Sep 20 | vs #4 Atlanta (97-72) | L2-4 | Oct 15 | at Cleveland (90-83) | L2-3 |
| Sep 19 | vs #4 Atlanta (97-72) | L3-6 | Oct 13 | vs Cleveland (90-83) | W3-1 |