Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Houston
St. Louis
|
72
C-
|
Overall |
77
C+
|
|
71
C-
|
Power |
76
C
|
|
73
C-
6099
|
Offensive |
77
C+
6099
|
|
Houston
6099
St. Louis
6099
|
||
|
68
D+
6099
|
Defensive |
76
C
6099
|
|
Houston
6099
St. Louis
6099
|
||
|
60
D-
|
SoS (Current) |
95
A
|
|
60
D-
|
SoS (Full Season) |
95
A
|
Houston
St. Louis
| 21 | Overall | 17 |
| 22 | Power | 18 |
| 20 | Offensive | 17 |
| 24 | Defensive | 18 |
| 30 | SoS (Current) | 4 |
| 30 | SoS (Full Season) | 4 |
Wk 32 (Oct 30), 2026: Houston 50%, St. Louis 50% at Houston.
Houston's win probability against St. Louis has held at 45% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Houston's win probability against St. Louis has held at 48% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Houston's win probability against St. Louis has held at 50% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At St. Louis | Neutral | At Houston |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 3 | 49% | 52% | 55% |
| Wk 4 | 46% | 48% | 51% |
| Wk 5 | 46% | 48% | 51% |
| Wk 6 | 39% | 41% | 44% |
| Wk 7 | 38% | 41% | 43% |
| Wk 8 | 37% | 39% | 42% |
| Wk 9 | 37% | 40% | 42% |
| Wk 10 | 41% | 44% | 47% |
| Wk 11 | 43% | 45% | 48% |
| Wk 12 | 41% | 44% | 46% |
| Wk 13 | 43% | 45% | 48% |
| Wk 14 | 43% | 45% | 48% |
| Wk 15 | 40% | 43% | 46% |
| Wk 16 | 41% | 43% | 46% |
| Wk 17 | 40% | 43% | 45% |
| Wk 18 | 43% | 46% | 48% |
| Wk 19 | 44% | 47% | 50% |
| Wk 20 | 44% | 47% | 50% |
| Wk 21 | 44% | 46% | 49% |
| Wk 22 | 41% | 44% | 46% |
| Wk 23 | 43% | 45% | 48% |
| Wk 24 | 44% | 47% | 50% |
| Wk 25 | 44% | 47% | 50% |
| Wk 26 | 45% | 47% | 50% |
| Wk 27 | 45% | 47% | 50% |
| Wk 28 | 45% | 48% | 51% |
| Wk 29 | 45% | 48% | 51% |
| Wk 30 | 45% | 48% | 51% |
| Wk 31 | 45% | 48% | 51% |
| Wk 32 | 45% | 48% | 50% |
Houston
St. Louis
|
0-3 (0%) |
Head to Head |
3-0 (100%) |
|
81-83 (49.4%) |
Overall |
77-85 (47.5%) |
|
39-44 (47%) |
Home |
38-43 (46.9%) |
|
42-39 (51.9%) |
Away |
39-42 (48.1%) |
|
7-14 (33.3%) |
Versus Top 5 |
14-17 (45.2%) |
|
29-28 (50.9%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
41-45 (47.7%) |
|
52-55 (48.6%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
36-40 (47.4%) |
|
4-6 (40%) |
Last 10 Games |
2-8 (20%) |
Houston
St. Louis
| #1 Milwaukee | Best Win | #1 Milwaukee |
| #30 Colorado | Worst Loss | #30 Colorado |
| 11 runs vs #28 Athletics | Largest MOV | 16 runs vs #7 Chi Cubs |
| 15 runs vs #29 LA Angels | Largest MOD | 12 runs vs #15 Baltimore |
Houston
St. Louis
| 4.5 | Runs per Game | 4.4 |
| 4.8 | Runs Against | 4.6 |
| 4.2 | Home RPG | 3.8 |
| 4.7 | Home RA | 4.6 |
| 4.8 | Away RPG | 5.1 |
| 4.8 | Away RA | 4.6 |
| 13036-13892 | Opponent Record | 13632-13074 |
| 17.9 | Avg Opponent Rank | 13.9 |
| L 8 | Longest Streak | W 6 |
| L 2 | Current Streak | L 4 |
Houston
St. Louis
| Sep 30 | vs Chi White Sox (88-81) | L3-7 | Sep 27 | at #1 Milwaukee (114-61) | L4-6 |
| Sep 29 | vs Chi White Sox (88-81) | L3-6 | Sep 26 | at #1 Milwaukee (114-61) | L2-3 |
| Sep 27 | at Athletics (64-98) | W9-0 | Sep 25 | at #1 Milwaukee (114-61) | L4-8 |
| Sep 26 | at Athletics (64-98) | W13-2 | Sep 24 | at Pittsburgh (82-80) | L1-2 |
| Sep 25 | at Athletics (64-98) | L5-6 | Sep 23 | at Pittsburgh (82-80) | W5-1 |
| Sep 24 | at Athletics (64-98) | W7-5 | Sep 22 | at Pittsburgh (82-80) | L0-2 |
| Sep 23 | at Seattle (76-86) | L5-6 | Sep 20 | vs Washington (77-85) | W5-3 |
| Sep 22 | at Seattle (76-86) | W7-0 | Sep 19 | vs Washington (77-85) | L5-8 |
| Sep 20 | vs #4 Atlanta (97-72) | L2-4 | Sep 18 | vs Washington (77-85) | L1-9 |
| Sep 19 | vs #4 Atlanta (97-72) | L3-6 | Sep 16 | vs San Francisco (65-97) | L5-6 |