Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Detroit
Boston
|
71
C-
|
Overall |
90
A-
|
|
90
A-
|
Power |
92
A-
|
|
83
B-
6099
|
Offensive |
84
B
6099
|
|
Detroit
6099
Boston
6099
|
||
|
92
A-
6099
|
Defensive |
94
A
6099
|
|
Detroit
6099
Boston
6099
|
||
|
65
D
|
SoS (Current) |
79
C+
|
|
68
D+
|
SoS (Future) |
82
B-
|
Detroit
Boston
| 22 | Overall | 8 |
| 8 | Power | 6 |
| 13 | Offensive | 12 |
| 6 | Defensive | 5 |
| 26 | SoS (Current) | 16 |
| 24 | SoS (Future) | 14 |
Wk 26 (Sep 15), 2026: Detroit 51%, Boston 49% at Detroit.
Detroit's win probability against Boston has held at 46% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Detroit's win probability against Boston has held at 49% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Detroit's win probability against Boston has held at 51% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At Boston | Neutral | At Detroit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 44% | 47% | 49% |
| Wk 1 | 53% | 56% | 58% |
| Wk 2 | 66% | 68% | 71% |
| Wk 3 | 57% | 59% | 62% |
| Wk 4 | 58% | 60% | 63% |
| Wk 5 | 58% | 60% | 63% |
| Wk 6 | 54% | 57% | 60% |
| Wk 7 | 51% | 54% | 56% |
| Wk 8 | 49% | 52% | 54% |
| Wk 9 | 46% | 49% | 51% |
| Wk 10 | 44% | 47% | 49% |
| Wk 11 | 44% | 46% | 49% |
| Wk 12 | 45% | 48% | 51% |
| Wk 13 | 46% | 49% | 51% |
| Wk 14 | 46% | 49% | 52% |
| Wk 15 | 47% | 50% | 53% |
| Wk 16 | 47% | 50% | 53% |
| Wk 17 | 45% | 47% | 50% |
| Wk 18 | 45% | 47% | 50% |
| Wk 19 | 46% | 49% | 51% |
| Wk 20 | 45% | 48% | 50% |
| Wk 21 | 47% | 49% | 52% |
| Wk 22 | 45% | 48% | 50% |
| Wk 23 | 44% | 47% | 50% |
| Wk 24 | 45% | 48% | 50% |
| Wk 25 | 46% | 48% | 51% |
| Wk 26 | 46% | 49% | 51% |
Detroit
Boston
|
2-5 (28.6%) |
Head to Head |
5-2 (71.4%) |
|
71-79 (47.3%) |
Overall |
82-68 (54.7%) |
|
39-36 (52%) |
Home |
38-37 (50.7%) |
|
32-43 (42.7%) |
Away |
44-31 (58.7%) |
|
12-9 (57.1%) |
Versus Top 5 |
18-17 (51.4%) |
|
28-44 (38.9%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
32-30 (51.6%) |
|
43-35 (55.1%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
50-38 (56.8%) |
|
7-3 (70%) |
Last 10 Games |
7-3 (70%) |
Detroit
Boston
| #1 Milwaukee | Best Win | #1 Milwaukee |
| #29 LA Angels | Worst Loss | #30 Colorado |
| 14 runs vs #17 Baltimore | Largest MOV | 16 runs vs #17 Baltimore |
| 13 runs vs #24 Minnesota | Largest MOD | 15 runs vs #5 NY Yankees |
Detroit
Boston
| 4.5 | Runs per Game | 4.4 |
| 4 | Runs Against | 3.8 |
| 4.4 | Home RPG | 4.5 |
| 3.7 | Home RA | 4.1 |
| 4.5 | Away RPG | 4.3 |
| 4.3 | Away RA | 3.6 |
| 11163-11378 | Opponent Record | 11284-11262 |
| 16.6 | Avg Opponent Rank | 15.5 |
| L 8 | Longest Streak | W 15 |
| W 5 | Current Streak | W 2 |
Detroit
Boston
| Sep 14 | at Toronto (75-76) | W6-5 | Sep 13 | vs Kansas City (66-84) | W4-1 |
| Sep 13 | vs Colorado (55-95) | W8-1 | Sep 12 | vs Kansas City (66-84) | W5-1 |
| Sep 12 | vs Colorado (55-95) | W11-7 | Sep 11 | vs Kansas City (66-84) | L2-3 |
| Sep 11 | vs Colorado (55-95) | W6-2 | Sep 9 | vs LA Angels (57-93) | L4-6 |
| Sep 9 | vs Minnesota (70-80) | W7-2 | Sep 8 | vs LA Angels (57-93) | L1-6 |
| Sep 8 | vs Minnesota (70-80) | L2-3 | Sep 7 | vs LA Angels (57-93) | W5-2 |
| Sep 7 | vs Minnesota (70-80) | W5-4 | Sep 6 | at Baltimore (73-78) | W3-1 |
| Sep 6 | at Cleveland (76-75) | L2-3 | Sep 5 | at Baltimore (73-78) | W5-0 |
| Sep 5 | at Cleveland (76-75) | W6-0 | Sep 4 | at Baltimore (73-78) | W1-0 |
| Sep 4 | at Cleveland (76-75) | L3-4 | Sep 3 | at Baltimore (73-78) | W6-5 |
vs
Major League Baseball